Result
2:3
18/02/2024 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 21
Chances of winning
Aurrerá Ondarroa 17.5% | Draw 27.2% | Beasain 55.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurrerá Ondarroa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Beasain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beasain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá Ondarroa than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beasain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aurrerá Ondarroa - Beasain Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.15 ↓ (6.27) |
3.32 ↓ (3.9) |
1.64 ↑ (1.45) |
10.7% (10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
- Aurrerá Ondarroa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Beasain is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Beasain could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Beasain is certain favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Aurrerá Ondarroa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-8.
- Including matches at home between the teams Aurrerá Ondarroa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Aurrerá Ondarroa won against Beasain?
Aurrerá Ondarroa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Beasain won against Aurrerá Ondarroa?
Beasain has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aurrerá Ondarroa - Beasain were as follows:
Latest results of Aurrerá Ondarroa
Latest results of Beasain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 24 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 52:17 | 35 | 60 |
| 2 | Leioa | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 45 |
| 3 | Lagun Onak | 24 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Touring KE | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
| 5 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | San Ignacio | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 24:18 | 6 | 38 |
| 7 | Derio | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 37:29 | 8 | 37 |
| 8 | Alaves C | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 38:27 | 11 | 36 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 41:40 | 1 | 35 |
| 10 | Durango | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 24:21 | 3 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 24:32 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 | Eibar C | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 28:38 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Zamudio | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Pasaia | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Anorga | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 20:43 | -23 | 21 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 17:30 | -13 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation