Leioa vs Beasain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
24/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Bengoetxea A. ,
  • 16', 1 - 1, Garcia I. ,
  • 34', 1 - 2, Pita M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+4', 1 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Leioa
41.2%
Draw
33.8%
Beasain
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 28.1% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 29.3% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Beasain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beasain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beasain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Leioa - Beasain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.35)
    2.69
    (3.25)
    3.63
    (2.77)
    10%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Leioa - Beasain?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Leioa (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leioa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 2.
    • In recent matches, Leioa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Beasain is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Beasain may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Beasain has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leioa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leioa - Beasain were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Beasain - Leioa 1:0
    08.03.2025 Leioa - Beasain 1:1
    26.10.2024 Beasain - Leioa 0:1
    14.01.2024 Leioa - Beasain 2:0
    Latest results of Leioa
    18.05.2025 Beasain - Leioa 1:0
    10.05.2025 Eibar C - Leioa 2:5
    03.05.2025 Leioa - Touring KE 3:2
    26.04.2025 Deusto - Leioa 2:0
    16.04.2025 Leioa - Durango 1:3
    Latest results of Beasain
    18.05.2025 Beasain - Leioa 1:0
    03.05.2025 Beasain - Lagun Onak 1:0
    16.04.2025 Beasain - Derio 2:0
    12.04.2025 Santurtzi - Beasain 1:3
    29.03.2025 Beasain - Pasaia 4:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete30225362:233971
    2Touring KE30168642:271556
    3Leioa30166842:281454
    4Lagun Onak301641048:282052
    5San Ignacio30147933:231049
    6Derio301461047:361148
    7Alaves C30138951:341747
    8Aurrera de Vitoria301451137:37047
    9Real Sociedad C301341334:35-143
    10UD Aretxabaleta301261248:50-242
    11Durango309101130:31-137
    12Anorga301031733:52-1933
    13Zamudio30951639:50-1132
    14Santurtzi307111227:39-1232
    15Pasaia30881423:40-1732
    16Eibar C30781533:48-1529
    17Zarautz KE30751826:56-3026
    18SD Deusto30571821:39-1822

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