Guarany de Bagé vs São Luiz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
13/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
76
Corner Kicks
24
Red Cards
10
Total shots
811
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
15
Corner Kicks
24
Goalkeeper Saves
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 🟥,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Marcio Jonatan ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 1, Felipe Tontini ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Guarany de Bagé
41.3%
Draw
31.4%
São Luiz
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 32.4% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 31% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guarany de Bagé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • São Luiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.22)
    2.86
    (2.8)
    3.31
    (3.39)
    11%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guarany de Bagé (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guarany de Bagé won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • São Luiz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Guarany de Bagé might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Guarany de Bagé won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guarany de Bagé won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz were as follows:
    03.05.2025 São Luiz - Guarany de Bagé 1:0
    23.02.2025 Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz 0:2
    20.02.2025 São Luiz - Guarany de Bagé 0:1
    15.02.2025 Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz 0:1
    24.02.2024 Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz 1:0
    Latest results of São Luiz
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional-AM11001:013
    2Manaus11001:013
    3Sao Raimundo RR10100:001
    4Manauara10100:001
    5GAS10010:1-10
    6Monte Roraima10010:1-10


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Porto Velho11005:143
    2Araguaina11002:113
    3Guapore11001:013
    4Galvez10011:2-10
    5Independencia10010:1-10
    6Humaita10011:5-40


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gama11002:023
    2Luverdense11002:113
    3Brasiliense10101:101
    4Primavera AC10101:101
    5Inhumas10011:2-10
    6Aparecidense10010:2-20


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Capital11001:013
    2Operario VG10102:201
    3Goiatuba10102:201
    4Ceilandia10100:001
    5Mixto10100:001
    6Uniao Rondonopolis10010:1-10


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aguia De Maraba10101:101
    2Trem10101:101
    3Imperatriz10100:001
    4Tuna Luso10100:001
    5Tocantinopolis00000:000
    6Oratorio00000:000


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1IAPE10102:201
    2Maracana10102:201
    3Parnahyba10101:101
    4Iguatu10100:001
    5Moto Club10101:101
    6Sampaio Correa10100:001


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Piaui11002:113
    2Ferroviario10101:101
    3Fluminense-PI10101:101
    4AE Altos10100:001
    5Atletico-CE10100:001
    6Tirol10011:2-10


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maguary11003:033
    2America RN11002:023
    3Central SC10101:101
    4Laguna RN10101:101
    5Sousa10010:2-20
    6ABC10010:3-30


    Group 9
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Treze PB11003:033
    2Sergipe10101:101
    3Lagarto10101:101
    4Decisao10101:101
    5Serra Branca10101:101
    6Retro10010:3-30


    Group 10
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1CSA11003:033
    2Juazeirense11003:123
    3ASA10100:001
    4Jacuipense10100:001
    5CSE10011:3-20
    6Alagoinhas10010:3-30


    Group 11
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ivinhema11001:013
    2Uberlandia11001:013
    3Operario MS10101:101
    4Betim10101:101
    5CRAC10010:1-10
    6Ouvidorense10010:1-10


    Group 12
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Porto-BA11003:213
    2Tombense11001:013
    3Democrata GV11001:013
    4Rio Branco ES10012:3-10
    5Vitoria ES10010:1-10
    6Real Noroeste10010:1-10


    Group 13
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Agua Santa11004:043
    2Pouso Alegre11002:023
    3Portuguesa10101:101
    4Portuguesa RJ10101:101
    5Madureira10010:2-20
    6America RJ10010:4-40


    Group 14
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Piracicaba11004:133
    2Marica11002:113
    3Sampaio Correa FE11001:013
    4Velo Clube10011:2-10
    5Noroeste10010:1-10
    6Nova Iguacu10011:4-30


    Group 15
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cianorte11003:123
    2Joinville11002:023
    3Cascavel11001:013
    4Santa Catarina10010:1-10
    5Guarany de Bage10011:3-20
    6Sao Luiz10010:2-20


    Group 16
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Blumenau11003:033
    2Brasil de Pelotas11002:113
    3Marcilio Dias10100:001
    4Sao Joseense10100:001
    5Azuriz10011:2-10
    6EC Sao Jose10010:3-30

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)