Racing Montevideo vs Progreso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
29/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Guerra E. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
72
Shots on target
20
Corner Kicks
42
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
01
Total shots
72
Shots on target
20
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Oyarzo Y. 🟨,
  • 17', Copelotti M. 🟨,
  • 24', Copelotti M. 🟨,
  • 34', Lopez P. , Hernandez R. ,
  • 44', Rodriguez Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Oyarzo Y. , Ramirez S. ,
  • 63', Paolini M. 🟨,
  • 68', Espinosa Dovat T. N. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 68', Tomatis B. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 69', Trasante G. , Asconeguy D. ,
  • 69', Fernandez N. , Pinheiro A. ,
  • 77', Rodriguez Y. , Suarez F. ,
  • 85', Cougo A. , Kidd F. ,
  • 90', Carroso H. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Ramirez S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Racing Montevideo
46.2%
Draw
29.2%
Progreso
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 28.6% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 29.1% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Racing Montevideo - Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.09)
    3.21
    (3.23)
    3.8
    (3.38)
    6.6%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo - Progreso?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Progreso will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 11)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Progreso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Racing is the team to beat.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Racing won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:13. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:1. (average 2.2:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Montevideo - Progreso were as follows:
    22.06.2025 Racing Montevideo - Progreso 3:0
    30.03.2025 Progreso - Racing Montevideo 0:1
    21.09.2024 Racing Montevideo - Progreso 1:0
    07.07.2024 Progreso - Racing Montevideo 3:2
    10.03.2024 Progreso - Racing Montevideo 4:3
    Latest results of Progreso
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo641112:6613
    2Maldonado641110:5513
    3Penarol64119:5413
    4Montevideo City63219:5411
    5Liverpool M63217:4311
    6Danubio632110:8211
    7Central Esp63127:5210
    8Nacional63127:6110
    9Defensor Sp62224:408
    10Wanderers62224:8-48
    11Cerro Largo62045:7-26
    12Albion61237:8-15
    13Progreso61235:10-55
    14Juventud61147:11-44
    15Boston River60242:7-52
    16CA Cerro60242:8-62

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