Result
2:1
18/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Lopez N. ⚽,
- 22', Rivero R. 🟨,
- 36', De Leon F. 🟨,
- 39', Cougo A. ↓, Kidd F. ↑,
- 45', Zeballos J. ↓, Levato M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', Carroso H. 🟨,
- 55', Rivero R. ↓, Luna J. ↑,
- 55', Zazpe L. ↓, Baju L. ↑,
- 60', Furtado N. 🟨,
- 62', Copelotti M. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
- 62', De Leon F. ↓, Viera S. ↑,
- 69', Labandeira F. ↓, Roque R. ↑,
- 69', Queiroz N. ↓, Alberti J. ↑,
- 76', Lopez N. ↓, Paz A. ↑,
- 76', Fernandez N. ↓, Codagnone A. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Luna J. ⚽,
- 89', 2 - 1, Sanchez D. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Progreso
34.5% | Draw
30.6% | Montevideo Wanderers
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Progreso - Montevideo Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↓
(2.84) |
3.06 ↑
(2.96) |
2.67 ↑
(2.52) |
7%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 1.
- Progreso is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Wanderers's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Progreso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Progreso won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Progreso won against Montevideo Wanderers?
Progreso has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montevideo Wanderers won against Progreso?
Montevideo Wanderers has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Progreso - Montevideo Wanderers were as follows:
21.09.2025
Progreso
-
Montevideo Wanderers
2:0
27.03.2025
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Progreso
1:1
10.11.2024
Progreso
-
Montevideo Wanderers
0:0
14.07.2024
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Progreso
4:2
04.05.2024
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Progreso
2:0
Latest results of Progreso
Latest results of Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 30 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Penarol | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Albion | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Central Esp | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Montevideo City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 8 | Nacional | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Danubio | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 17:17 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Liverpool M | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 17 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Progreso | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 15 | CA Cerro | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | Juventud | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
