Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies
04/07/2025 at 05:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Carlton Blues
22.6%
Collingwood Magpies
77.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.3% 71.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 65%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlton Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlton Blues's form might have worsened.
  • Collingwood Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Collingwood Magpies's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlton Blues, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Collingwood Magpies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.04
    (3.37)

    1.21
    (1.33)
    7.6%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 160.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-27)
  • What is the prediction for Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carlton will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Collingwood will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carlton (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 67:94.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 1.
    • Recent performances by Carlton have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Collingwood is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Collingwood may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Collingwood is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1450:1635. (average 72.5:81.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carlton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 596:806. (average 66.2:89.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies were as follows:
    03.04.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Carlton Blues 63:46
    03.08.2024 Collingwood Magpies - Carlton Blues 84:81
    03.05.2024 Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies 79:85
    28.07.2023 Collingwood Magpies - Carlton Blues 76:93
    21.05.2023 Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies 57:85
    Latest results of Carlton Blues
    Latest results of Collingwood Magpies
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1513021393:1026135.7752
    2Brisbane Lions1510141316:1160113.4542
    3Adelaide Crows1510051479:1058139.7940
    4Geelong Cats1510051477:1158127.5540
    5Hawthorn Hawks1510051347:1138118.3740
    6Fremantle Dockers1510051271:1151110.4340
    7Western Bulldogs159061582:1203131.5036
    8Gold Coast Suns149051317:1095120.2736
    9GWS Giants159061294:1203107.5636
    10Port Adelaide Power157081156:130588.5828
    11Carlton Blues156091186:1181100.4224
    12Sydney Swans156091171:127192.1324
    13Essendon Bombers146081010:130477.4524
    14Melbourne Demons1550101176:135686.7320
    15St Kilda Saints1550101196:138886.1720
    16North Melbourne1541101152:146778.5318
    17Richmond Tigers153012963:148664.8012
    18West Coast Eagles1510141003:153965.174

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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