Result
2:0
19/04/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 30
- Referee: Bel D. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (378/443) | 82% (293/356) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 100% (1/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (378/443) | 82% (293/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (30/58) | 48% (25/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (92/123) | 62% (60/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 60% (3/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 33 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | -0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Gojak A. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Lawal S. ⚽, Lisica M. (A),
- 45', Lawal S. ↓, Rozic V. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gojak A. ↓, Ilinkovic S. ↑,
- 46', Cop D. ↓, Menalo L. ↑,
- 67', Jankovic N. 🟨,
- 70', 2 - 0, Rozic V. ⚽, Lisica M. (A),
- 75', Petrovic D. ↓, Dogan D. ↑,
- 75', Djouahra N. ↓, Rukavina G. ↑,
- 78', Majstorovic A. 🟨,
- 84', Orec A. 🟨,
- 86', Loncar S. ↓, Calusic I. ↑,
- 87', Kadusic A. ↓, Keller S. ↑,
- 90+5', Mauric A. ↓, Robertsson L. H. ↑,
- 90+5', Gagua G. ↓, Fucak K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Istra 1961
20.9% | Draw
30.5% | Rijeka
48.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Istra 1961 - Rijeka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.47 ↑
(4) |
3.07 ↑
(2.97) |
1.93 ↓
(2.08) |
6.7%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 - Rijeka?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Istra 1961 will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Rijeka will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Istra 1961: 11.9% – 76.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Istra 1961 won 1.
- Recent matches Istra 1961 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Rijeka is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match Rijeka is a favorite.
- There will not play in Istra 1961: Bogdan L.
(Injury)
Heister M.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Rijeka: Radeljic S.
(Red Card)
Skoric M.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Istra 1961 won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 15:41 (average 0.8:2.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Istra 1961 won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10:21 (average 1:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Rijeka?
Istra 1961 has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Istra 1961?
Rijeka has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Istra 1961 - Rijeka were as follows:
02.04.2025
Rijeka
-
Istra 1961
1:0
09.02.2025
Rijeka
-
Istra 1961
0:1
03.11.2024
Istra 1961
-
Rijeka
0:1
18.08.2024
Rijeka
-
Istra 1961
4:0
14.04.2024
Istra 1961
-
Rijeka
0:2
Latest results of Istra 1961
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Osijek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Varazdin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Vukovar 1991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Lok. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Gorica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
