Cajamarca vs Ayacucho – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Héroes de San Ramón (Cajamarca).

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 8
Referee: Segura R. (Per)
Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.59	0.73
Ball Possession
72%	28%
Total shots
11	8
Shots on target
2	6
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
7	4
Passes
80% (356/443)	48% (79/165)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59	0.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.09	1.54
Total shots
11	8
Shots on target
2	6
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked Shots
3	0
Shots inside the Box
7	6
Shots outside the Box
4	2
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
21	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	4
Free Kicks
12	11
Passes
80% (356/443)	48% (79/165)
Long passes
43% (35/81)	28% (19/69)
Passes in final third
64% (100/157)	42% (31/74)
Crosses
23% (5/22)	36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.60	0.31
Throw-ins
29	20
Fouls
12	12
Tackles
67% (6/9)	79% (15/19)
Duels won
37	51
Clearances
17	48
Interceptions
8	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	2
xGOT faced
1.54	0.09
Goals prevented
0.54	0.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Ramirez D. 🟨,
35', Lucumi J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Perez Azambuya E. M. ↓, Caballero F. ↑,
46', Vega J. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
46', Ramirez D. ↓, de la Cruz A. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Arakaki H. ⚽, Lucumi J. (A),
65', Lucumi J. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
70', Palacios B. ↓, Balanta G. ↑,
70', Oncoy F. ↓, Cantt J. ↑,
76', Arakaki H. ↓, Salcedo R. ↑,
78', de la Cruz A. 🟨,
81', Aguirre J. 🟨,
85', Aguirre J. 🟥,
85', Vasquez A. ↓, Lujan J. ↑,
90+6', Valencia J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Cajamarca
44.9%

Draw
29.5%

Ayacucho
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

25.4%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

21.8%

26.2%

Cajamarca - Ayacucho Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.79)	3.17 ↓ (3.68)	3.66 ↓ (4.15)	7.4% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Ayacucho?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Cajamarca will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 2.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Cajamarca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Ayacucho?

Cajamarca has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against Cajamarca?

Ayacucho has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Ayacucho were as follows:

11.04.2025 Ayacucho - Cajamarca 0:1

Latest results of Cajamarca

23.08.2025 Sporting Cristal - Cajamarca 2:2 ✺

16.08.2025 Cajamarca - Juan Pablo II College 0:0 ✺

11.08.2025 Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca 2:0 ✺

04.08.2025 Cajamarca - Cusco 1:2 ✺

25.07.2025 Escuela Municipal Binacional - Cajamarca 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Ayacucho

22.08.2025 Ayacucho - Escuela Municipal Binacional Postponed ✺

17.08.2025 FBC Melgar - Ayacucho 2:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Ayacucho - Alianza Lima 0:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Sport Huancayo - Ayacucho 3:1 ✺

30.07.2025 Ayacucho - Sport Boys 0:0 ✺

Peruvian Liga 1 Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	U. de Deportes	15	12	3	0	28:10	18	39
2	Cusco	15	9	3	3	24:14	10	30
3	Sporting Cristal	15	7	4	4	25:11	14	25
4	Alianza Lima	15	7	4	4	25:18	7	25
5	FBC Melgar	17	6	7	4	24:17	7	25
6	Cienciano	15	7	3	5	22:18	4	24
7	Deportivo Garcilaso	16	6	6	4	20:21	-1	24
8	Los Chankas	14	8	0	6	17:24	-7	24
9	Comerciantes Unidos	15	6	4	5	17:21	-4	22
10	AD Tarma	15	6	3	6	18:20	-2	21
11	Alianza Atl	15	4	5	6	12:11	1	17
12	Grau	15	4	4	7	17:19	-2	16
13	Sport Boys	15	4	4	7	14:21	-7	16
14	Sport Huancayo	15	4	3	8	24:26	-2	15
15	Ayacucho	15	4	2	9	15:24	-9	14
16	Alianza Huanuco	15	4	2	9	19:31	-12	14
17	Cajamarca	15	3	4	8	16:22	-6	13
18	Juan Pablo II	15	2	5	8	10:19	-9	11
19	Binacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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