New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer US Open Cup New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas
Result
3:2 penalties
21/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : US Open Cup - 1/8-finals
New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.410.99
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
196
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
86% (638/745)75% (356/472)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.410.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.881.37
Total shots
196
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
112
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
4622
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
2325
Passes
86% (638/745)75% (356/472)
Long passes
45% (27/60)43% (33/76)
Passes in final third
73% (187/257)73% (87/119)
Crosses
27% (7/26)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
2.311.07
Throw-ins
2717
Fouls
2523
Tackles
57% (13/23)82% (18/22)
Duels won
7070
Clearances
3337
Interceptions
825
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.371.88
Goals prevented
-0.63-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', Ramiro 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 1, Kamungo B. , Musa P. (A),
  • 38', Norris N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 62', 1 - 1, Sofo M. ,
  • 63', Bogacz W. , Choupo-Moting E. M. ,
  • 63', Sofo M. , Forsberg E. ,
  • 63', Gjengaar D. , Harper C. ,
  • 65', Norris N. , Farfan M. ,
  • 65', Julio Santos A. A. , Pomykal P. ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, Acosta L. , Kamungo B. (A),
  • 81', Kamungo B. , Ibeagha S. ,
  • 85', Stroud P. , Donkor R. ,
  • 85', Duncan K. , Hack A. ,
  • 90+1', Paes M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Forsberg E. ,
  • 90+4', Acosta L. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Musa P. , Farrington L. ,
  • 91', Hack A. 🟨,
  • 98', Edwards R. 🟨,
  • 101', Edwards R. , Valencia O. ,
  • 107', Kaick , Pedrinho ,
  • 113', Ramiro 🟥,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, Choupo-Moting E. M. (Pen),
  • 1, Acosta L. (Pen),
  • 2, Eile N. (Pen),
  • 2, Moore S. (Pen),
  • 3, Carmona W. (Pen),
  • 3, Farrington L. (Pen),
  • 4, Edelman D. (Pen),
  • 4, Farfan M. (Pen),
  • 5, Forsberg E. (Pen),
  • 5, Pedrinho (Pen),

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
48.5%
Draw
27.2%
FC Dallas
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 27.2% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 27.4% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.9)
    3.39
    (3.42)
    3.8
    (3.91)
    8.3%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, NY Red Bulls has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, NY Red Bulls is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 1.5:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas were as follows:
    09.03.2024 New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas 2:1
    Latest results of FC Dallas
    17.05.2025 FC Dallas - Houston Dynamo 0:2
    10.05.2025 FC Dallas - Real Salt Lake 1:1
    07.05.2025 FC Dallas - AV Alta 3:1
    03.05.2025 San Diego - FC Dallas 5:0
    27.04.2025 Inter Miami - FC Dallas 3:4
    Draw
    2025

    1/128-finals
    1Louisville CityBye
    3West Chester UtdLoudoun2 : 3
    4Richmond KickersVirginia Dream1 : 3
    8ByeMinnesota United
    9St. Louis CityBye
    13Sporting Kansas City IIMenace1 : 2
    14FlatironsUnion Omaha1 : 2
    16ByeSan Antonio
    17Hartford AthleticNew York Shockers3 : 0
    18Portland Hearts of PineFaialense4 : 0
    20ByeRhode Island
    24ByeNew England Revolution
    25Chicago FireBye
    29DetroitBye
    31MotownWestchester SC
    32Cincinnati 2New York Pancyprian0 : 1
    33Tacoma DefianceWashington AC3 : 1
    34BallardSpokane Velocity0 : 1
    36ByeOakland Roots
    40ByePortland Timbers
    41Sacramento RepublicBye
    43Monterey BayInternational SF4 : 0
    44Real MonarchsEl Farolito1 : 3
    48ByeSan Jose Earthquakes
    49Forward MadisonDuluth FC5 : 1
    50Tulsa AthleticFC Tulsa0 : 1
    52ByePhoenix Rising
    56ByeHouston Dynamo
    57Austin FCBye
    61New MexicoBye
    63Ventura CountyLaguna United7 : 0
    64El PasoHarpos5 : 1
    65Sarasota ParadiseFC Naples1 : 2
    66Little Rock RangersBirmingham1 : 0
    68ByeTampa Bay
    72ByeOrlando City
    73Nashville SCBye
    77Las Vegas LightsBye
    79ChattanoogaCorpus Christi FC1 : 0
    80New Jersey AllianceChattanooga Red Wolves2 : 3
    81Long IslandCharlotte Independ.2 : 3
    82Carolina CoreSoda City4 : 2
    84ByeNorth Carolina
    88ByeCharlotte
    89DC UnitedBye
    93CharlestonBye
    95TormentaHarbor City3 : 0
    96TexomaForo1 : 2
    97Philadelphia UnionBye
    101Indy ElevenBye
    103Inter Miami IIMiami United4 : 2
    104Miami FCNaples United4 : 1
    105Columbus Crew 2NY Renegades4 : 1
    106LexingtonSouthern Indiana5 : 0
    108ByePittsburgh
    112ByeNew York City
    113Colorado SpringsBye
    115Asheville CityGreenville0 : 1
    116AppalachianOne Knoxville0 : 3
    120ByeNew York Red Bulls
    121FC DallasBye
    125AV AltaVentura3 : 1
    126Los Angeles FC IIArizona FC7 : 1
    128ByeOrange County SC

    1/64-finals
    1Louisville CityBye
    2LoudounVirginia Dream4 : 2
    4ByeMinnesota United
    5St. Louis CityBye
    7MenaceUnion Omaha1 : 2
    8ByeSan Antonio
    9Hartford AthleticPortland Hearts of Pine1 : 2
    10ByeRhode Island
    12ByeNew England Revolution
    13Chicago FireBye
    15DetroitBye
    16Westchester SCNew York Pancyprian3 : 2
    17Tacoma DefianceSpokane Velocity2 : 1
    18ByeOakland Roots
    20ByePortland Timbers
    21Sacramento RepublicBye
    22Monterey BayEl Farolito1 : 2
    24ByeSan Jose Earthquakes
    25Forward MadisonFC Tulsa1 : 3
    26ByePhoenix Rising
    28ByeHouston Dynamo
    29Austin FCBye
    31New MexicoBye
    32Ventura CountyEl Paso0 : 3
    33FC NaplesLittle Rock Rangers3 : 0
    34ByeTampa Bay
    36ByeOrlando City
    37Nashville SCBye
    39Las Vegas LightsBye
    40ChattanoogaChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 2
    41Charlotte Independ.Carolina Core2 : 1
    42ByeNorth Carolina
    44ByeCharlotte
    45DC UnitedBye
    47CharlestonBye
    48TormentaForo3 : 2
    49Philadelphia UnionBye
    51Indy ElevenBye
    52Inter Miami IIMiami FC0 : 1
    53Columbus Crew 2Lexington3 : 0
    54ByePittsburgh
    56ByeNew York City
    57Colorado SpringsBye
    58GreenvilleOne Knoxville1 : 3
    60ByeNew York Red Bulls
    61FC DallasBye
    63AV AltaLos Angeles FC II2 : 1
    64ByeOrange County SC

    1/32-finals
    1Louisville CityLoudoun2 : 1
    2ByeMinnesota United
    3St. Louis CityBye
    4Union OmahaSan Antonio1 : 0
    5Portland Hearts of PineRhode Island1 : 2
    6ByeNew England Revolution
    7Chicago FireBye
    8DetroitWestchester SC3 : 1
    9Tacoma DefianceOakland Roots2 : 1
    10ByePortland Timbers
    11Sacramento RepublicEl Farolito1 : 0
    12ByeSan Jose Earthquakes
    13FC TulsaPhoenix Rising1 : 2
    14ByeHouston Dynamo
    15Austin FCBye
    16New MexicoEl Paso2 : 3
    17FC NaplesTampa Bay1 : 2
    18ByeOrlando City
    19Nashville SCBye
    20Las Vegas LightsChattanooga Red Wolves2 : 3
    21Charlotte Independ.North Carolina1 : 3
    22ByeCharlotte
    23DC UnitedBye
    24CharlestonTormenta4 : 0
    25Philadelphia UnionBye
    26Indy ElevenMiami FC1 : 0
    27Columbus Crew 2Pittsburgh0 : 1
    28ByeNew York City
    29Colorado SpringsOne Knoxville3 : 2
    30ByeNew York Red Bulls
    31FC DallasBye
    32AV AltaOrange County SC3 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Louisville CityMinnesota United0 : 1
    2St. Louis CityUnion Omaha2 : 0
    3Rhode IslandNew England Revolution1 : 2
    4Chicago FireDetroit4 : 0
    5Tacoma DefiancePortland Timbers2 : 3
    6Sacramento RepublicSan Jose Earthquakes1 : 2
    7Phoenix RisingHouston Dynamo1 : 4
    8Austin FCEl Paso3 : 2
    9Tampa BayOrlando City0 : 5
    10Nashville SCChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 0
    11North CarolinaCharlotte1 : 4
    12DC UnitedCharleston2 : 0
    13Philadelphia UnionIndy Eleven2 : 1
    14PittsburghNew York City1 : 0
    15Colorado SpringsNew York Red Bulls1 : 4
    16FC DallasAV Alta3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Minnesota UnitedSt. Louis City3 : 2
    2New England RevolutionChicago Fire1 : 3
    3Portland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes0 : 1
    4Houston DynamoAustin FC1 : 3
    5Orlando CityNashville SC2 : 3
    6CharlotteDC United3 : 4
    7Philadelphia UnionPittsburgh4 : 1
    8New York Red BullsFC Dallas3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Minnesota UnitedChicago Fire3 : 1
    2San Jose EarthquakesAustin FC2 : 3
    3Nashville SCDC United5 : 2
    4Philadelphia UnionNew York Red Bulls

    Semi-finals
    1Minnesota UnitedAustin FC
    2TBD #3TBD #4
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