Result
2:2
11/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Mendoza R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.74 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (435/516) | 81% (344/423) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (435/516) | 81% (344/423) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (31/62) | 45% (18/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (93/128) | 66% (65/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 0.83 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 2.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Ruvalcaba J. ⚽, Hall J. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Silvetti M. ⚽, de Paul R. (A), Bright Y. (A2)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Reguilon S. ↓, Pinter D. ↑,
- 55', 2 - 1, Berterame G. ⚽,
- 60', Cowell C. 🟨,
- 66', Cowell C. ↓, Mosquera R. ↑,
- 66', Ruvalcaba J. ↓, Sofo M. ↑,
- 68', Silvetti M. ↓, Lujan G. ↑,
- 76', Fray I. 🟨,
- 77', 2 - 2, Mehmeti A. ⚽, Hall J. (A), Forsberg E. (A2)
- 79', Fray I. ↓, Suarez L. ↑,
- 80', Mosquera R. 🟨,
- 87', Mehmeti A. ↓, Berggren G. ↑,
- 87', Forsberg E. ↓, Choupo-Moting E. M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Inter Miami 66.2% | Draw 19.3% | New York Red Bulls 14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Miami, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.45 ↑ (1.34) |
4.94 ↓ (5.07) |
6.4 ↓ (7.27) |
5% (7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 4.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Inter Miami is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Che J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Marcucci A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Inter Miami: Mura F.
(Injury)
Reguilon S.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.9:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 2.2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Miami won against New York Red Bulls?
Inter Miami has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New York Red Bulls won against Inter Miami?
New York Red Bulls has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
19.07.2025
New York Red Bulls
-
Inter Miami
1:5
03.05.2025
Inter Miami
-
New York Red Bulls
4:1
04.05.2024
Inter Miami
-
New York Red Bulls
6:2
23.03.2024
New York Red Bulls
-
Inter Miami
4:0
26.08.2023
New York Red Bulls
-
Inter Miami
0:2
Latest results of Inter Miami
Latest results of New York Red Bulls
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25:6 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 25:5 | 20 | 24 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:6 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 17 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Dallas | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | San Diego FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:15 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Toronto FC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:19 | -2 | 13 |
| 7 | New York City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:25 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:29 | -17 | 7 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 5 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)