Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
11/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Mendoza R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldApple TV International

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.140.74
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
165
Shots on target
72
Big chances
72
Corner kicks
123
Passes
84% (435/516)81% (344/423)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
2.140.74
xG on target (xGOT)
2.451.40
Total shots
165
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
72
Blocked shots
21
Shots inside the box
145
Shots outside the box
20
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
72
Corner kicks
123
Touches in opposition box
3615
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
31
Free kicks
148
Passes
84% (435/516)81% (344/423)
Long passes
50% (31/62)45% (18/40)
Passes in final third
73% (93/128)66% (65/99)
Crosses
39% (7/18)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
2.340.83
Throw ins
1822
Fouls
814
Tackles
59% (10/17)42% (5/12)
Duels won
5835
Clearances
1517
Interceptions
1018
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
05
xGOT faced
1.402.45
Goals prevented
-0.600.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Ruvalcaba J. , Hall J. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Silvetti M. , de Paul R. (A), Bright Y. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Reguilon S. , Pinter D. ,
  • 55', 2 - 1, Berterame G. ,
  • 60', Cowell C. 🟨,
  • 66', Cowell C. , Mosquera R. ,
  • 66', Ruvalcaba J. , Sofo M. ,
  • 68', Silvetti M. , Lujan G. ,
  • 76', Fray I. 🟨,
  • 77', 2 - 2, Mehmeti A. , Hall J. (A), Forsberg E. (A2)
  • 79', Fray I. , Suarez L. ,
  • 80', Mosquera R. 🟨,
  • 87', Mehmeti A. , Berggren G. ,
  • 87', Forsberg E. , Choupo-Moting E. M. ,

Chances of winning


Inter Miami
66.2%
Draw
19.3%
New York Red Bulls
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69% 18.3% 12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6% 17.6% 12.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Miami, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.34)
    4.94
    (5.07)
    6.4
    (7.27)
    5%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Inter Miami is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Che J. (Hamstring Injury) Marcucci A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Mura F. (Injury) Reguilon S. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.9:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 2.2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
    19.07.2025 New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami 1:5
    03.05.2025 Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls 4:1
    04.05.2024 Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls 6:2
    23.03.2024 New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami 4:0
    26.08.2023 New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami 0:2
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    04.04.2026 Inter Miami - Austin FC 2:2
    18.03.2026 Inter Miami - Nashville SC 1:1
    14.03.2026 Charlotte - Inter Miami 0:0
    11.03.2026 Nashville SC - Inter Miami 0:0
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Jose Earthquakes1090125:61927
    2Vancouver Whitecaps980125:52024
    3Los Angeles FC1062217:61120
    4Seattle Sounders861112:4819
    5Minnesota United1052311:14-317
    6Real Salt Lake951317:14316
    7Colorado Rapids1041522:18413
    8FC Dallas1034318:15313
    9Houston Dynamo940512:18-612
    10Los Angeles Galaxy1033415:16-112
    11San Diego FC1032517:17011
    12Portland Timbers931513:19-610
    13Austin FC1024414:19-510
    14St. Louis City91359:16-76
    15Sporting Kansas City91177:25-184


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC971121:61522
    2Inter Miami1054119:15419
    3Chicago Fire952217:8917
    4New England Revolution951317:12516
    5Charlotte1042418:18014
    6Toronto FC1034317:19-213
    7New York City1033419:16312
    8Columbus Crew1033414:13112
    9FC Cincinnati1033419:23-412
    10DC United1033411:15-412
    11New York Red Bulls1033416:25-912
    12CF Montreal930613:20-79
    13Atlanta Utd102179:17-87
    14Orlando City1021712:29-177
    15Philadelphia Union101279:17-85

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)