Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Almere City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4
26/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 24
  • Referee: Hardeman T. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.633.23
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1921
Shots on target
611
Big chances
45
Corner kicks
29
Passes
86% (401/467)81% (318/394)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
2.633.23
xG on target (xGOT)
2.653.67
Total shots
1921
Shots on target
611
Shots off target
123
Blocked shots
17
Shots inside the box
1215
Shots outside the box
76
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
45
Corner kicks
29
Touches in opposition box
3143
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1113
Passes
86% (401/467)81% (318/394)
Long passes
63% (34/54)52% (28/54)
Passes in final third
76% (130/171)71% (85/120)
Crosses
20% (2/10)41% (7/17)
Expected assists (xA)
2.731.77
Throw ins
1315
Fouls
1311
Tackles
43% (9/21)67% (16/24)
Duels won
4459
Clearances
2723
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
21
Goalkeeper saves
63
xGOT faced
3.672.65
Goals prevented
-0.33-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Bouziane W. ,
  • 13', 1 - 1, Druijf F. , Lawrence J. (A),
  • 26', 1 - 2, Rijkhoff J. ,
  • 27', Oufkir A. 🟨,
  • 37', Sam A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 52', 1 - 3, Poku E. , Kalisvaart J. (A),
  • 60', Budko B. , de Wit H. ,
  • 60', Zwart J. , Dekkers S. ,
  • 64', 2 - 3, van den Ban Y. , Dekkers S. (A),
  • 66', 2 - 4, Druijf F. ,
  • 70', Toppenberg K. , Kovacs B. ,
  • 71', Sam A. , Reith B. ,
  • 73', 3 - 4, Kovacs B. , Oufkir A. (A),
  • 76', Kalisvaart J. 🟨,
  • 78', van den Ban Y. , Mastoras E. ,
  • 78', Oufkir A. , Hartog J. ,
  • 86', Kalisvaart J. , Cornelisse E. ,
  • 86', Druijf F. , Providence R. ,
  • 86', Bijleveld T. , Vianello T. ,
  • 90', Rijkhoff J. , Jacobs Jo. ,
  • 90+3', van Duijl B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong AZ Alkmaar
26.8%
Draw
22.8%
Almere City
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.9% 23.2% 45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7% 22.3% 47.7%

Jong AZ Alkmaar - Almere City Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.47
(3.02)
4.12
(4.02)
1.86
(2.04)
7.1%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Jong AZ Alkmaar - Almere City?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Almere City (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Jong AZ (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Almere City (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Almere City will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.93%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Almere City will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Jong AZ (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Almere City (votes: 9 - 81.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 3.
    • Jong AZ has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Almere City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Almere City might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Jong AZ: Kasius D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Almere City: Huisman B. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:28. (average 1.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 2.7:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong AZ Alkmaar - Almere City were as follows:
    24.10.2025 Almere City - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:3
    07.04.2023 Almere City - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:1
    22.08.2022 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Almere City 3:2
    Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
    Latest results of Almere City
    14.01.2026 Almere City - Telstar 1:3
    20.12.2025 Almere City - Emmen 4:2
    12.12.2025 Jong PSV - Almere City 2:3
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag25182562:293356
    2Cambuur23155350:262450
    3Jong PSV26134954:48643
    4De Graafschap26126849:40942
    5Almere City251231053:411239
    6Willem II25116834:34039
    7Roda26109743:40339
    8Waalwijk26107943:40337
    9Dordrecht26107937:36137
    10Venlo261121335:39-435
    11Den Bosch261041245:48-334
    12Jong Utrecht2588944:46-232
    13Eindhoven FC25941235:45-1031
    14Maastricht26861232:50-1830
    15FC Emmen23851040:44-429
    16Helmond26851333:45-1229
    17Jong AZ26821644:53-926
    18Oss26681233:44-1126
    19Vitesse2698939:40-123
    20Jong Ajax25471433:50-1719

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )