De Graafschap vs Jong Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
06/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 26
  • Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.030.20
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
84
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
52
Passes
82% (386/470)79% (275/349)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
3.030.20
xG on target (xGOT)
3.660.31
Total shots
176
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
52
Blocked shots
40
Shots inside the box
143
Shots outside the box
33
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
399
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1111
Passes
82% (386/470)79% (275/349)
Long passes
55% (41/74)48% (28/58)
Passes in final third
64% (82/129)59% (41/69)
Crosses
33% (9/27)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.990.19
Throw ins
1723
Fouls
1111
Tackles
62% (16/26)50% (4/8)
Duels won
5043
Clearances
1935
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
44
xGOT faced
0.313.66
Goals prevented
0.31-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Niemeijer R. , Kaninda N. (A),
  • 24', Butera E. 🟨,
  • 45', van der Vaart D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Appiah A. , Kasanwirjo K. ,
  • 47', 2 - 0, Eggens N. , Kaninda N. (A),
  • 55', 3 - 0, Eggens N. , de Jong F. (A),
  • 61', Martens N. , Symons K. ,
  • 61', Gijselhart T. , Eijken D. ,
  • 69', Kasanwirjo K. , Beekman L. ,
  • 70', Peters T. , Ouazane Z. ,
  • 70', Kaninda N. , Simons J. ,
  • 70', Eggens N. , Kwint K. ,
  • 75', 4 - 0, Kwint K. , Simons J. (A),
  • 78', Niemeijer R. , Smits M. ,
  • 79', O'Niel D. , Kalokoh D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


De Graafschap
66.1%
Draw
17.7%
Jong Ajax
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.9% 17.1% 13%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • De Graafschap - Jong Ajax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.31)
    5.23
    (5.37)
    5.82
    (7.05)
    7%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Jong Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. De Graafschap will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 65%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Jong Ajax (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): De Graafschap will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. De Graafschap (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Jong Ajax (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 20).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • De Graafschap may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, De Graafschap is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 38:35. (average 1.9:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 2.1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Jong Ajax were as follows:
    03.10.2025 Jong Ajax - De Graafschap 2:2
    19.04.2025 De Graafschap - Jong Ajax 2:0
    09.12.2024 Jong Ajax - De Graafschap 2:0
    11.03.2024 De Graafschap - Jong Ajax 0:2
    21.08.2023 Jong Ajax - De Graafschap 1:2
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    Latest results of Jong Ajax
    02.02.2026 Jong Ajax - Willem II 2:1
    19.01.2026 Jong Ajax - Roda 2:2
    22.12.2025 Jong Ajax - Waalwijk 0:2
    12.12.2025 MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax 2:1
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag38292790:375389
    2Cambuur38239675:482778
    3Willem II382081059:421768
    4De Graafschap381891174:581663
    5Almere City381841678:631558
    6Waalwijk3816101271:591258
    7Jong PSV381751666:64256
    8Roda3814131159:54555
    9Den Bosch381491565:69-451
    10Dordrecht3812111548:56-847
    11Eindhoven FC381451951:69-1847
    12Jong Utrecht3812101658:62-446
    13Venlo381361950:58-845
    14FC Emmen381291758:72-1445
    15Vitesse3815111264:55944
    16Oss3811111654:64-1044
    17Jong AZ381242261:76-1540
    18Helmond381091942:62-2039
    19Maastricht389111841:73-3238
    20Jong Ajax38982150:73-2335

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )