Jong Ajax vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Sportcomplex De Toekomst (Ouder-Amstel).

Eerste Divisie - Round 25
Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.17	1.05
Ball possession
59%	41%
Total shots
11	11
Shots on target
5	7
Big chances
2	4
Corner kicks
4	4
Passes
85% (451/528)	75% (270/360)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.17	1.05
xG on target (xGOT)
1.80	1.77
Total shots
11	11
Shots on target
5	7
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked shots
1	2
Shots inside the box
4	9
Shots outside the box
7	2
Hit the woodwork
2	0
Big chances
2	4
Corner kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
16	29
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	6
Free kicks
13	10
Passes
85% (451/528)	75% (270/360)
Long passes
51% (35/69)	53% (30/57)
Passes in final third
63% (64/102)	65% (68/105)
Crosses
9% (1/11)	26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.15	0.50
Throw ins
9	18
Fouls
10	13
Tackles
69% (9/13)	83% (15/18)
Duels won
49	52
Clearances
21	25
Interceptions
8	5
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
6	3
xGOT faced
1.77	1.80
Goals prevented
0.77	-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', El Allouchi M. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
51', Zarrouk A. ↓, van Maarschalkerwaard P. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Vink S. ⚽, Johnson J. (A),
62', Alders G. ↓, Jetten L. ↑,
62', Abdella M. ↓, Konadu D. ↑,
68', Doodeman N. ↓, Abildgaard L. ↑,
68', van Aalst U. ↓, Verheydt T. ↑,
70', Tjoe a On N. 🟨,
71', 1 - 1, Haen D. ⚽, Verheydt T. (A),
72', Ouazane Z. ↓, Nash P. ↑,
77', O'Niel D. 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Ouazane A. ⚽, Nash P. (A),
85', van Maarschalkerwaard P. 🟨,
87', Et Taibi A. ↓, Stam F. ↑,
88', van der Vaart D. ↓, Muzungu M. ↑,
90+3', Ouazane A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Jong Ajax
22.9%

Draw
21.6%

Willem II
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

22%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

21.4%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-2%)

Jong Ajax - Willem II Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↑ (3.61)	4.28 ↑ (4.24)	1.69 ↓ (1.79)	6.9% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - Willem II?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Willem II will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.75 - Willem II (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Willem II (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 1.
Jong Ajax is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Willem II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Willem II is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J. (Knock)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.9:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Willem II?

Jong Ajax has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Jong Ajax?

Willem II has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - Willem II were as follows:

19.09.2025 Willem II - Jong Ajax 1:0

19.01.2024 Willem II - Jong Ajax 1:1

06.11.2023 Jong Ajax - Willem II 1:0

24.02.2023 Willem II - Jong Ajax 2:1

31.10.2022 Jong Ajax - Willem II 1:2

Latest results of Jong Ajax

19.01.2026 Jong Ajax - Roda 2:2 ✺

12.01.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax 1:2 ✺

22.12.2025 Jong Ajax - Waalwijk 0:2 ✺

12.12.2025 MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax 2:1 ✺

05.12.2025 Almere City - Jong Ajax 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Willem II

23.01.2026 Willem II - VVV-Venlo 2:1 ✺

18.01.2026 FC Eindhoven - Willem II 0:2 ✺

21.12.2025 Helmond Sport - Willem II 2:2 ✺

18.12.2025 Willem II - Sparta Rotterdam 1:5 ✺

12.12.2025 Willem II - Cambuur 0:1 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	36	27	2	7	82:35	47	83
2	Cambuur ✔	36	22	9	5	72:44	28	75
3	Willem II	36	18	8	10	54:41	13	62
4	De Graafschap	36	17	9	10	71:56	15	60
5	Jong PSV	36	17	5	14	65:59	6	56
6	Almere City	36	17	4	15	73:59	14	55
7	Waalwijk	36	15	10	11	66:53	13	55
8	Roda	36	14	12	10	57:50	7	54
9	Den Bosch	35	14	8	13	61:61	0	50
10	Dordrecht	36	12	11	13	46:50	-4	47
11	Eindhoven FC	36	13	5	18	50:66	-16	44
12	Vitesse	36	15	10	11	63:53	10	43
13	Venlo	36	12	6	18	47:55	-8	42
14	FC Emmen	36	11	8	17	55:70	-15	41
15	Jong Utrecht	35	10	9	16	52:61	-9	39
16	Oss	36	9	11	16	48:62	-14	38
17	Jong AZ	36	11	4	21	59:73	-14	37
18	Maastricht	36	9	10	17	41:71	-30	37
19	Helmond	36	9	9	18	40:61	-21	36
20	Jong Ajax	36	8	8	20	49:71	-22	32

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie