Result
3:1
19/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 23', 1 - 0, Coronel J. ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 1, Aranda G. (Own goal),
- 30', Gonzalez T. 🟨,
- 45', 2 - 1, Kaprof J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Marghetich T. ↓, Mino M. ↑,
- 48', Ramirez I. 🟨,
- 54', Kaprof J. ↓, Vazquez G. ↑,
- 61', Serrano V. 🟨,
- 62', Martinez R. 🟨,
- 63', Allende L. ↓, Machado C. ↑,
- 64', Duarte L. ↓, Bordagaray F. ↑,
- 76', Coronel J. ↓, Belinetz O. ↑,
- 76', Martinez R. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
- 78', Juarez A. ↓, Klusener G. ↑,
- 78', Purita E. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
- 83', Roselli N. 🟥,
- 90+6', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Quilmes
53.6% | Draw
28.6% | Arsenal Sarandí
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.86) |
3.21 ↑
(3.19) |
5.26 ↑
(4.16) |
7.9%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
- Quilmes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Arsenal Sarandí has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Quilmes has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Quilmes is a strong favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Quilmes won against Arsenal Sarandí?
Quilmes has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Sarandí won against Quilmes?
Arsenal Sarandí has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí were as follows:
15.03.2025
Arsenal Sarandí
-
Quilmes
0:1
27.07.2024
Arsenal Sarandí
-
Quilmes
0:0
09.03.2024
Quilmes
-
Arsenal Sarandí
0:0
Latest results of Quilmes
Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Moron | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Colon Santa Fe | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Los Andes | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Almirante Brown | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 17 |
| 5 | Deportivo Madryn | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Godoy Cruz | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Ciudad Bolivar | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Ferro | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Def. de Belgrano | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | CA Estudiantes | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7:9 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | San Telmo | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | All Boys | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Central Norte | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4:8 | -4 | 10 |
| 17 | Acassuso | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | Chaco For Ever | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 23 |
| 2 | Tristan Suarez | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | San Martin T | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Nueva Chicago | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Atl. Rafaela | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Midland | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Temperley | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Patronato | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Quilmes | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 12 | Deportivo Maipu | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Colegiales | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Agropecuario | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Club A. Guemes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | Almagro | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
