Result
3:1
19/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 23', 1 - 0, Coronel J. ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 1, Aranda G. (Own goal),
- 30', Gonzalez T. 🟨,
- 45', 2 - 1, Kaprof J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Marghetich T. ↓, Mino M. ↑,
- 48', Ramirez I. 🟨,
- 54', Kaprof J. ↓, Vazquez G. ↑,
- 61', Serrano V. 🟨,
- 62', Martinez R. 🟨,
- 63', Allende L. ↓, Machado C. ↑,
- 64', Duarte L. ↓, Bordagaray F. ↑,
- 76', Coronel J. ↓, Belinetz O. ↑,
- 76', Martinez R. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
- 78', Juarez A. ↓, Klusener G. ↑,
- 78', Purita E. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
- 83', Roselli N. 🟥,
- 90+6', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Quilmes
53.6% | Draw
28.6% | Arsenal Sarandí
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.86) |
3.21 ↑
(3.19) |
5.26 ↑
(4.16) |
7.9%
(9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
- Quilmes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Arsenal Sarandí has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Quilmes has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Quilmes is a strong favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Quilmes won against Arsenal Sarandí?
Quilmes has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Sarandí won against Quilmes?
Arsenal Sarandí has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí were as follows:
15.03.2025
Arsenal Sarandí
-
Quilmes
0:1
27.07.2024
Arsenal Sarandí
-
Quilmes
0:0
09.03.2024
Quilmes
-
Arsenal Sarandí
0:0
Latest results of Quilmes
Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 47 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | San Martin T | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 43 |
| 4 | San Miguel | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 43 |
| 5 | Patronato | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 24:19 | 5 | 41 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 23:15 | 8 | 40 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26:24 | 2 | 35 |
| 10 | Quilmes | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | All Boys | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 22:22 | 0 | 33 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
| 13 | Colegiales | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 17:22 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Almagro | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Ferro | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 17:29 | -12 | 30 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 28 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 27 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 27 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 52 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 31:13 | 18 | 50 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 29:16 | 13 | 46 |
| 4 | Chacarita Juniors | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 46 |
| 5 | CA Estudiantes | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 30:19 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 27:17 | 10 | 44 |
| 7 | Temperley | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Chaco For Ever | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 28:23 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Agropecuario | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | San Telmo | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 35 |
| 11 | Def. de Belgrano | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 22:22 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 24:27 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 | Central Norte | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 23:30 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 19:22 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 | Colon Santa Fe | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 21:34 | -13 | 28 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 25 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 13:34 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 27 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 15:45 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
