Port Vale vs Burton Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/02/2026 at 07:31 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Vale Park (Stoke on Trent).

League One - Round 31
Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.51	1.84
Ball possession
43%	57%
Total shots
13	13
Shots on target
5	6
Big chances
1	3
Corner kicks
5	6
Passes
62% (156/252)	70% (228/328)
Yellow cards
2	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.51	1.84
xG on target (xGOT)
0.88	2.30
Total shots
13	13
Shots on target
5	6
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked shots
4	5
Shots inside the box
9	10
Shots outside the box
4	3
Hit the woodwork
1	2
Big chances
1	3
Corner kicks
5	6
Touches in opposition box
18	33
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free kicks
12	9
Passes
62% (156/252)	70% (228/328)
Long passes
33% (20/60)	46% (32/70)
Passes in final third
53% (37/70)	58% (84/146)
Crosses
39% (7/18)	21% (7/34)
Expected assists (xA)
1.13	1.45
Throw ins
21	39
Fouls
9	12
Tackles
67% (10/15)	43% (6/14)
Duels won
71	56
Clearances
53	19
Interceptions
3	5
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
4	2
xGOT faced
2.30	0.88
Goals prevented
0.30	-1.12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', Godwin-Malife U. 🟨,
6', 1 - 0, Archer E. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Beesley J. ⚽, Revan S. (A),
29', 2 - 1, Waine B. ⚽,
36', Vancooten T. 🟨,
40', Hall G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 2 - 2, Beesley J. ⚽, Lofthouse K. (A),
55', Krubally S. 🟨,
61', Hall C. 🟨,
70', Vancooten T. ↓, Sibbick T. ↑,
76', Stockley J. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
76', Waine B. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
78', Krubally S. ↓, Cannon A. ↑,
83', Archer E. ↓, Walters R. ↑,
88', Shade T. ↓, Adom K. ↑,
90+3', Croasdale R. ↓, Magloire T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Port Vale
39.7%

Draw
28.4%

Burton Albion
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

28.1%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

27.8%

27.3%

Port Vale - Burton Albion Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.08)	3.29 ↑ (3.27)	2.94 ↓ (3.33)	6.9% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Port Vale - Burton Albion?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Burton will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 15.4% – 84.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 2.
Port Vale has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Burton is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G. (Injury)
There will not play in Burton: Delap F. (Inactive) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Sraha J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Burton: Webster C. (Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.6:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Burton Albion?

Port Vale has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Port Vale?

Burton Albion has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Burton Albion were as follows:

16.08.2025 Burton Albion - Port Vale 0:0

27.07.2024 Burton Albion - Port Vale 2:0

23.03.2024 Burton Albion - Port Vale 0:1

14.11.2023 Burton Albion - Port Vale 0:2

04.11.2023 Port Vale - Burton Albion 0:0

Latest results of Port Vale

03.02.2026 Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon 0:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Leyton Orient - Port Vale 0:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Port Vale - Exeter City 1:3 ✺

17.01.2026 Mansfield Town - Port Vale 3:0 ✺

13.01.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Port Vale 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Burton Albion

03.02.2026 Burton Albion - Doncaster Rovers 1:2 ✺

31.01.2026 Burton Albion - Cardiff City 2:2 ✺

27.01.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion 2:1 ✺

22.01.2026 Lincoln City - Burton Albion 2:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Burton Albion - Huddersfield Town 3:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	30	19	6	5	55:29	26	63
2	Lincoln	30	18	7	5	52:30	22	61
3	Bolton	31	15	10	6	41:29	12	55
4	Stockport County	30	15	8	7	42:35	7	53
5	Huddersfield	31	14	7	10	53:42	11	49
6	Bradford City	29	14	7	8	37:33	4	49
7	Luton	30	13	6	11	40:35	5	45
8	Peterborough	31	14	2	15	45:41	4	44
9	Wycombe	30	11	10	9	40:31	9	43
10	Reading	30	11	10	9	43:39	4	43
11	Stevenage	29	11	9	9	31:30	1	42
12	Mansfield	29	10	9	10	37:32	5	39
13	Exeter	29	11	5	13	33:30	3	38
14	AFC Wimbledon	29	11	5	13	32:38	-6	38
15	Barnsley	27	10	7	10	44:46	-2	37
16	Plymouth	30	11	4	15	37:46	-9	37
17	Blackpool	30	9	6	15	37:44	-7	33
18	Leyton Orient	30	9	6	15	40:49	-9	33
19	Northampton	30	9	6	15	29:39	-10	33
20	Doncaster	30	9	6	15	33:50	-17	33
21	Burton	30	8	8	14	33:45	-12	32
22	Wigan	30	7	10	13	31:42	-11	31
23	Rotherham	29	8	7	14	31:43	-12	31
24	Port Vale	28	5	7	16	22:40	-18	22

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two