Barrow vs Harrogate Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Holker Street (Barrow in Furness).

League Two - Round 33
Referee: Copeland S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.03	0.47
Ball possession
55%	45%
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
2	2
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
1	6
Passes
71% (339/479)	66% (258/389)
Yellow cards
1	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.03	0.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.25	1.00
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
9	3
Blocked shots
3	2
Shots inside the box
8	2
Shots outside the box
4	5
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
1	6
Touches in opposition box
21	15
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free kicks
10	11
Passes
71% (339/479)	66% (258/389)
Long passes
40% (36/89)	42% (41/98)
Passes in final third
57% (88/154)	50% (49/98)
Crosses
26% (6/23)	0% (0/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.81	0.21
Throw ins
40	18
Fouls
11	10
Tackles
59% (13/22)	57% (12/21)
Duels won
74	83
Clearances
29	54
Interceptions
14	6
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
1.00	0.25
Goals prevented
0.00	0.25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Taylor E. ⚽,
40', Barkhuizen T. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
40', Earing J. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Morris B. ↓, Thomson G. ↑,
63', Brenan T. ↓, Muldoon J. ↑,
66', Headman C. 🟨,
67', Headman C. ↓, Faulkner B. ↑,
79', Raglan C. ↓, Walker T. ↑,
87', Harper R. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
88', Heffernan C. 🟨,
90+8', Thompson J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Barrow
52.9%

Draw
26.7%

Harrogate Town
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

25.5%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

24.7%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

The chances for Harrogate Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Barrow - Harrogate Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.7)	3.51 ↓ (3.6)	4.51 ↑ (4.47)	6.6% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Barrow - Harrogate Town?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Harrogate will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Harrogate: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 2.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Barrow may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Barrow is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Barrow: Anderson F. (Inactive) Foley S. (Surgery) Hemmings K. (Injury) Williams M. (Inactive)
There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M. (Inactive) Bradbury T. (Injury) Duke-McKenna S. (Injury) Fox B. (Inactive) McCoulsky S. (Inactive) Oxley M. (Inactive) Sutton L. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Barrow: Fletcher I. (Inactive) Gordon J. (Inactive) Smith S. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Harrogate: Faulkner B. (Inactive) Headman C. (Inactive) Hill T. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 0.9:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Harrogate Town?

Barrow has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Barrow?

Harrogate Town has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Harrogate Town were as follows:

19.08.2025 Harrogate Town - Barrow 1:0

04.01.2025 Barrow - Harrogate Town 0:2

31.08.2024 Harrogate Town - Barrow 0:1

16.03.2024 Barrow - Harrogate Town 0:0

02.09.2023 Harrogate Town - Barrow 0:1

Latest results of Barrow

14.02.2026 Barrow - Colchester United 1:0 ✺

10.02.2026 Shrewsbury Town - Barrow 2:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Notts County - Barrow 2:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Swindon Town - Barrow 3:1 ✺

27.01.2026 Barrow - Oldham Athletic Postponed ✺

Latest results of Harrogate Town

14.02.2026 Chesterfield - Harrogate Town 1:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Harrogate Town - Cambridge United 2:1 ✺

03.02.2026 Harrogate Town - Swindon Town 0:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Crawley Town - Harrogate Town 2:0 ✺

27.01.2026 Harrogate Town - Fleetwood Town 1:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	39	21	7	11	65:42	23	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Oldham	38	16	13	9	47:31	16	61
10	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
11	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League