Larne vs Glenavon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Premiership - Round 17
  • Referee: Clarke T. (Nir)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
55
Shots on target
21
Corner Kicks
94
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
10
Total shots
55
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', Graham S. , Simpson J. ,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Cartwright L. ,
  • 43', Simpson J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 1, O'Neill P. ,
  • 60', Malone J. 🟨,
  • 71', O'Connor T. , Lusty M. ,
  • 71', O'Neill P. , McEneff J. ,
  • 71', Millar L. , Magee B. ,
  • 79', 2 - 1, McKendry C. ,
  • 82', 🟨,
  • 90+1', McKendry C. , Wallace L. ,
  • 90+5', Randall M. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Larne
74.6%
Draw
16.9%
Glenavon
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.8% 17.6% 10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.2% 16.8% 10.1%

Larne - Glenavon Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.24
(1.3)
5.47
(5.3)
10.91
(8.81)
8.1%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Larne - Glenavon?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Larne will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Larne: 68.4%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larne won 3.
    • Larne is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Glenavon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Glenavon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Larne is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Larne won 16 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 47:13. (average 2.4:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Larne won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:8. (average 2.6:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Larne - Glenavon were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Larne - Glenavon 1:0
    22.03.2025 Glenavon - Larne 0:1
    18.02.2025 Larne - Glenavon 1:1
    17.09.2024 Glenavon - Larne 0:0
    16.03.2024 Larne - Glenavon 6:1
    Latest results of Larne
    07.11.2025 Larne - Portadown 3:0
    01.11.2025 Ballymena United - Larne 0:2
    25.10.2025 Larne - Bangor 1:1
    18.10.2025 Cliftonville - Larne 0:2
    12.10.2025 Larne - Linfield Postponed
    Latest results of Glenavon
    15.11.2025 Crusaders - Glenavon 4:1
    08.11.2025 Glenavon - Glentoran 3:1
    01.11.2025 Coleraine - Glenavon 5:1
    18.10.2025 Glenavon - Carrick Rangers 1:0
    Northern Irish Premiership Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Larne ✔ 26195247:133462
    2Coleraine27173755:253054
    3Glentoran24154541:241749
    4Linfield25137538:172146
    5Dungannon261311232:41-940
    6Carrick Rangers26951239:43-432
    7Cliftonville2387832:32031
    8Bangor FC27941432:44-1231
    9Portadown25911530:45-1528
    10Ballymena25741429:39-1025
    11Crusaders26731633:54-2124
    12Glenavon26502121:52-3115

          Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
          NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )