Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (287/339) | 76% (214/281) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (287/339) | 76% (214/281) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (26/53) | 38% (18/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (86/116) | 64% (61/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 19% (6/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 38% (3/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Humanante J. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 0, Gonzalez P. ⚽,
- 64', Morales J. ↓, Paz F. ↑,
- 64', Tello M. ↓, Cazares J. ↑,
- 64', Humanante J. ↓, Bravo J. ↑,
- 64', Arboleda C. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
- 65', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
- 73', Caicedo E. ↓, Quinonez A. ↑,
- 73', Ayovi W. ↓, Avila D. ↑,
- 80', Gonzalez P. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 80', Viera M. ↓, Mohor J. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Caicedo N. ⚽, Quinonez O. (A),
- 89', Blanc G. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Macará
50.2% | Draw
27.7% | Libertad Loja
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Macará's performance.Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Deportivo Macará - Libertad Loja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↓
(2.05) |
3.37 ↑
(3.25) |
4.22 ↑
(3.5) |
6.4%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Macará - Libertad Loja?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Macará will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Libertad will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Libertad (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- Macará is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Libertad has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Macará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Macará has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Macará is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Macará won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Macará won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Libertad Loja?
Deportivo Macará has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Deportivo Macará?
Libertad Loja has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - Libertad Loja were as follows:
25.05.2025
Libertad Loja
-
Deportivo Macará
0:1
16.08.2024
Libertad Loja
-
Deportivo Macará
0:1
15.03.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
Libertad Loja
3:0
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle ✔ | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 55:23 | 32 | 64 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC ✔ | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 54 |
| 3 | LDU Quito ✔ | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 51 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 58:39 | 19 | 49 |
| 5 | Orense | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Libertad | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 42:36 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 35:29 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec ✔ | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 42 |
| 9 | Aucas ✔ | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 41 |
| 10 | Macara ✔ | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 38 |
| 11 | EL Nacional ✔ | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:46 | -14 | 34 |
| 12 | Delfin | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 31 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 26:46 | -20 | 28 |
| 14 | Vinotinto | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 38:50 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 | Manta ✔ | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 34:53 | -19 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Emelec is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
