Chattanooga vs Cincinnati 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1 penalties
21/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.69
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
79% (311/394)86% (369/428)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.060.44
Total shots
810
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
44
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
1515
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
79% (311/394)86% (369/428)
Long passes
44% (28/63)46% (17/37)
Passes in final third
49% (43/88)69% (68/99)
Crosses
20% (1/5)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.371.21
Throw-ins
1715
Fouls
1116
Tackles
50% (6/12)55% (6/11)
Duels won
3746
Clearances
1526
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.441.06
Goals prevented
0.441.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', James J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Screen R. 🟨,
  • 49', Garvanian M. 🟨,
  • 65', James J. , Kwak Min-Jae ,
  • 65', Ortiz D. , Thomas C. ,
  • 66', Daley A. 🟨,
  • 68', del Valle Y. , Ikoba T. ,
  • 74', Davila A. , Locker C. ,
  • 79', Mangarov D. , Dudley E. ,
  • 79', Screen R. , Brown L. ,
  • 79', Koehler N. , Ibarra J. ,
  • 89', Mangione P. , Augee B. ,
  • 89', Kuisel W. , Hurtado D. ,
  • 90+2', Sar-Sar F. 🟨,
  • Penalties (7 - 8)
  • 1, Naglestad M. (Pen),
  • 1, Ikoba T. (Pen),
  • 2, Robertson T. (Pen),
  • 2, Schaefer B. (Pen),
  • 3, Garvanian M. (Pen),
  • 3, Augee B. (Pen),
  • 4, Kwak Min-Jae (Pen),
  • 4, Locker C. (Pen),
  • 5, Sar-Sar F. (Pen),
  • 5, Adnan N. (Pen),
  • 6, Ibarra J. (Pen),
  • 6, Jimenez S. (Pen),
  • 7, Dudley E. (Pen),
  • 7, Daley A. (Pen),
  • 8, Louis S. (Pen),
  • 8, Chirila A. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Chattanooga
46.9%
Draw
24.3%
Cincinnati 2
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 25.1% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 24.5% 22.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chattanooga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Cincinnati 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cincinnati 2's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chattanooga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cincinnati 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chattanooga - Cincinnati 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (1.78)
    3.82
    (3.66)
    3.22
    (4)
    7.8%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Chattanooga - Cincinnati 2?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Cincinnati 2 (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Chattanooga is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chattanooga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Chattanooga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chattanooga - Cincinnati 2 were as follows:
    23.03.2024 Chattanooga - Cincinnati 2 3:0
    Latest results of Chattanooga
    Latest results of Cincinnati 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II8602020:820
    2Columbus Crew 29510316:1517
    3Philadelphia Union II8410311:814
    4Toronto FC II8302313:1311
    5New England Revolution II722127:611
    6Connecticut FC8210510:158
    7Cincinnati 2720059:116
    8New York City II611134:106


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy9621027:1023
    2Atlanta United 28501214:916
    3Orlando City B8231217:1913
    4Huntsville7311214:1612
    5Chattanooga8301413:1410
    6Chicago Fire II713126:910
    7Carolina Core8013410:165
    8Inter Miami II801259:214


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County9321314:1314
    2San Jose Earthquakes II7401214:713
    3Portland Timbers 2731218:813
    4Los Angeles FC 29312315:1913
    5Real Monarchs7220312:1210
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 29211514:189
    7Tacoma Defiance9121510:158


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 28710020:323
    2St. Louis City 29621020:823
    3Minnesota 2841039:914
    4Austin FC II7312110:813
    5North Texas9221413:1411
    6Sporting Kansas City II10112611:267
    7Colorado Rapids 2800359:193


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy9621027:1023
    2New York Red Bulls II8602020:820
    3Columbus Crew 29510316:1517
    4Atlanta United 28501214:916
    5Philadelphia Union II8410311:814
    6Orlando City B8231217:1913
    7Huntsville7311214:1612
    8Toronto FC II8302313:1311
    9New England Revolution II722127:611
    10Chattanooga8301413:1410
    11Chicago Fire II713126:910
    12Connecticut FC8210510:158
    13Cincinnati 2720059:116
    14New York City II611134:106
    15Carolina Core8013410:165
    16Inter Miami II801259:214


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 28710020:323
    2St. Louis City 29621020:823
    3Minnesota 2841039:914
    4Ventura County9321314:1314
    5San Jose Earthquakes II7401214:713
    6Austin FC II7312110:813
    7Portland Timbers 2731218:813
    8Los Angeles FC 29312315:1913
    9North Texas9221413:1411
    10Real Monarchs7220312:1210
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 29211514:189
    12Tacoma Defiance9121510:158
    13Sporting Kansas City II10112611:267
    14Colorado Rapids 2800359:193

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)