Chattanooga vs Inter Miami II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 penalties
19/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.571.74
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
2012
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
78% (236/301)84% (328/391)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.571.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.882.02
Total shots
2012
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
105
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
2513
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
78% (236/301)84% (328/391)
Long passes
46% (23/50)47% (25/53)
Passes in final third
61% (71/117)59% (39/66)
Crosses
27% (4/15)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.270.26
Throw-ins
1915
Fouls
1315
Tackles
79% (15/19)82% (14/17)
Duels won
4749
Clearances
1938
Interceptions
123
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
2.021.88
Goals prevented
0.00-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 27', Hall T. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 1, Saja M. ,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Mangarov D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Flores A. , Sparks B. ,
  • 52', 2 - 1, Mangarov D. ,
  • 57', 2 - 2, Pinter D. ,
  • 57', Hall T. , Almeida N. ,
  • 58', Shaw A. , Ledesma S. ,
  • 58', Vorenkamp T. , Ristano A. ,
  • 61', Ferraina G. 🟨,
  • 72', Thomas C. , Ancelin K. ,
  • 78', Naglestad M. , Kwak Min-Jae ,
  • 78', James J. , Rimpel X. ,
  • 86', Watson C. , Mendonca N. ,
  • 86', Mangarov D. , Mohand A. ,
  • 90', Ledesma S. 🟨,
  • 90', Kwak Min-Jae 🟨,
  • 90+2', Mendonca N. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Marin M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Jakupovic E. 🟨,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Sumalla D. (Pen),
  • 1, Jakupovic E. (Pen),
  • 2, Ferraina G. (Pen),
  • 2, Dudley E. (Pen),
  • 3, Almeida N. (Pen),
  • 3, Mohand A. (Pen),
  • 4, Pinter D. (Pen),
  • 4, Kwak Min-Jae (Pen),
  • 5, Saja M. (Pen),
  • 5, Sar-Sar F. (Pen),
  • 6, Sparks B. (Pen),
  • 6, Garvanian M. (Pen),
  • 7, Ristano A. (Pen),
  • 7, Rimpel X. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Chattanooga
58%
Draw
21.2%
Inter Miami II
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 21.8% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8% 19.1% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Chattanooga have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Inter Miami II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chattanooga that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami II than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Chattanooga - Inter Miami II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.54)
    4.34
    (4.1)
    4.44
    (4.4)
    8.5%
    (12.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Chattanooga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Chattanooga is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:12. (average 3:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chattanooga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chattanooga - Inter Miami II were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Chattanooga - Inter Miami II 4:3
    07.03.2025 Inter Miami II - Chattanooga 1:2
    25.08.2024 Inter Miami II - Chattanooga 5:1
    10.05.2024 Inter Miami II - Chattanooga 1:2
    13.04.2024 Chattanooga - Inter Miami II 6:2
    Latest results of Chattanooga
    Latest results of Inter Miami II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II8602020:820
    2Columbus Crew 29510316:1517
    3Philadelphia Union II8410311:814
    4Toronto FC II8302313:1311
    5New England Revolution II722127:611
    6Connecticut FC8210510:158
    7Cincinnati 2720059:116
    8New York City II611134:106


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy9621027:1023
    2Atlanta United 28501214:916
    3Orlando City B8231217:1913
    4Huntsville7311214:1612
    5Chattanooga8301413:1410
    6Chicago Fire II713126:910
    7Carolina Core8013410:165
    8Inter Miami II801259:214


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County9321314:1314
    2San Jose Earthquakes II7401214:713
    3Portland Timbers 2731218:813
    4Los Angeles FC 29312315:1913
    5Real Monarchs7220312:1210
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 29211514:189
    7Tacoma Defiance9121510:158


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 28710020:323
    2St. Louis City 29621020:823
    3Minnesota 2841039:914
    4Austin FC II7312110:813
    5North Texas9221413:1411
    6Sporting Kansas City II10112611:267
    7Colorado Rapids 2800359:193


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy9621027:1023
    2New York Red Bulls II8602020:820
    3Columbus Crew 29510316:1517
    4Atlanta United 28501214:916
    5Philadelphia Union II8410311:814
    6Orlando City B8231217:1913
    7Huntsville7311214:1612
    8Toronto FC II8302313:1311
    9New England Revolution II722127:611
    10Chattanooga8301413:1410
    11Chicago Fire II713126:910
    12Connecticut FC8210510:158
    13Cincinnati 2720059:116
    14New York City II611134:106
    15Carolina Core8013410:165
    16Inter Miami II801259:214


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 28710020:323
    2St. Louis City 29621020:823
    3Minnesota 2841039:914
    4Ventura County9321314:1314
    5San Jose Earthquakes II7401214:713
    6Austin FC II7312110:813
    7Portland Timbers 2731218:813
    8Los Angeles FC 29312315:1913
    9North Texas9221413:1411
    10Real Monarchs7220312:1210
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 29211514:189
    12Tacoma Defiance9121510:158
    13Sporting Kansas City II10112611:267
    14Colorado Rapids 2800359:193

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)