Result
1:2
02/05/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (279/378) | 75% (271/359) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 2.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (279/378) | 75% (271/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (26/71) | 45% (29/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (48/87) | 67% (94/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 50% (4/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.71 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.59 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 29', 0 - 1, Dunbar C. ⚽,
- 41', Senanou M. 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 2, Dunbar C. ⚽, Chong-Qui D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Alenga M. ↓, Sumo A. ↑,
- 48', Montenegro R. ↓, Diakite M. ↑,
- 53', Zeegers T. 🟨,
- 54', Cisset M. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 2, Sumo A. ⚽, Diaz D. (A),
- 70', Kovac A. ↓, Butts L. ↑,
- 72', Diaz D. ↓, Brown N. ↑,
- 74', Dovlo E. ↓, Tablante M. ↑,
- 75', Raimbault T. ↓, Balogun K. ↑,
- 78', Balogun K. 🟨,
- 79', Torres A. 🟨,
- 84', Tattevin A. ↓, Aguirre R. ↑,
- 89', 🟨,
- 89', Suarez I. ↓, Ettinger I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Carolina Core
34% | Draw
26.5% | Atlanta United II
39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carolina Core has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Atlanta United II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Core than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Carolina Core - Atlanta United II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↑
(2.6) |
3.44 ↑
(3.3) |
2.31 ↓
(2.33) |
9.8%
(11.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carolina Core won 3.
- Carolina Core is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atlanta United II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Carolina Core may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Atlanta United II has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Carolina Core won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 2.1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carolina Core won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 3.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Carolina Core won against Atlanta United II?
Carolina Core has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta United II won against Carolina Core?
Atlanta United II has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carolina Core - Atlanta United II were as follows:
08.03.2026
Atlanta United II
-
Carolina Core
2:1
13.09.2025
Carolina Core
-
Atlanta United II
4:2
19.07.2025
Carolina Core
-
Atlanta United II
2:1
23.04.2025
Atlanta United II
-
Carolina Core
3:2
28.08.2024
Carolina Core
-
Atlanta United II
4:1
Latest results of Carolina Core
Latest results of Atlanta United II
MLS Next Pro Table
2026Northeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | New York Red Bulls II | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20:8 | 20 |
| 2 | Columbus Crew 2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:15 | 17 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union II | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 4 | Toronto FC II | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 5 | New England Revolution II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 6 | Connecticut FC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 7 | Cincinnati 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 8 | New York City II | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:10 | 6 |
Southeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 27:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Atlanta United 2 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 16 |
| 3 | Orlando City B | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:19 | 13 |
| 4 | Huntsville | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 5 | Chattanooga | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | 10 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire II | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 10 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | 5 |
| 8 | Inter Miami II | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:21 | 4 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ventura County | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15:19 | 13 |
| 5 | Real Monarchs | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:12 | 10 |
| 6 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14:18 | 9 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | 8 |
Frontier Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:3 | 23 |
| 2 | St. Louis City 2 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 3 | Minnesota 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 4 | Austin FC II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 5 | North Texas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 6 | Sporting Kansas City II | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11:26 | 7 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 3 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 27:10 | 23 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls II | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew 2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:15 | 17 |
| 4 | Atlanta United 2 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 16 |
| 5 | Philadelphia Union II | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 6 | Orlando City B | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:19 | 13 |
| 7 | Huntsville | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 8 | Toronto FC II | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 9 | New England Revolution II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 10 | Chattanooga | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | 10 |
| 11 | Chicago Fire II | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 10 |
| 12 | Connecticut FC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 13 | Cincinnati 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 14 | New York City II | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:10 | 6 |
| 15 | Carolina Core | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | 5 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:21 | 4 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:3 | 23 |
| 2 | St. Louis City 2 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 3 | Minnesota 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 13 |
| 6 | Austin FC II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 8 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15:19 | 13 |
| 9 | North Texas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Monarchs | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:12 | 10 |
| 11 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14:18 | 9 |
| 12 | Tacoma Defiance | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11:26 | 7 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 3 |
Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
