Tokyo Verdy vs Shonan Bellmare: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare
Result
0:2
11/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 16
Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.950.94
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
81% (415/513)75% (260/347)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.950.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.121.07
Total shots
138
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
2113
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
127
Passes
81% (415/513)75% (260/347)
Long passes
48% (30/63)32% (19/59)
Passes in final third
60% (85/142)56% (48/85)
Crosses
29% (6/21)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.49
Throw-ins
3323
Fouls
712
Tackles
80% (8/10)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5249
Clearances
2135
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.070.12
Goals prevented
-0.930.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 54', Morita K. 🟨,
  • 56', Oda Y. , Suzuki A. ,
  • 56', Matsumura S. , Hata T. ,
  • 58', Saito K. , Matsuhashi Y. ,
  • 58', Meshino S. , Yamami H. ,
  • 62', 0 - 1, Okuno K. ,
  • 66', Someno I. , Kimura Y. ,
  • 66', Fukuda Y. , Kawasaki S. ,
  • 71', Ikeda M. , Okuno H. ,
  • 71', Hiraoka T. , Luiz Phellype ,
  • 81', Arai Y. , Inami T. ,
  • 88', Fukuda S. 🟨,
  • 90', Okuno K. , Barada A. ,
  • 90+4', 0 - 2, Luiz Phellype , Okuno H. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tokyo Verdy
38.3%
Draw
31.8%
Shonan Bellmare
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 28.8% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 29.3% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tokyo Verdy's form might have worsened.
  • Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tokyo Verdy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.1)
    2.96
    (3.26)
    3.15
    (3.53)
    6%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 1.
    • Tokyo Verdy is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shonan Bellmare is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Hirakawa R. (Yellow Cards) Sako M. (Knee Injury) Yamada G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Ishibashi S. (Ankle Injury) Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury) Ze Ricardo (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare 0:2
    10.07.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy 1:0
    03.04.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy 1:2
    Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers22132732:201241
    2Kashiwa Reysol22118330:201041
    3Vissel Kobe22124628:21740
    4Kyoto22115636:261038
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima22113826:18836
    6Kawasaki Frontale2298535:231235
    7Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    8Machida22104830:25534
    9Cerezo Osaka2296734:29533
    10Okayama2286819:19030
    11Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    12Gamba Osaka22841026:30-428
    13Nagoya Grampus2276928:30-227
    14Shimizu S-Pulse2276927:29-227
    15Verdy2276915:23-827
    16FC Tokyo22751024:31-726
    17Shonan Bellmare21651016:26-1023
    18Yokohama FC22541314:27-1319
    19Albirex Niigata22471123:37-1419
    20Yokohama F. Marinos22361319:32-1315

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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