Result
4:2
20/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (190/306) | 68% (256/379) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.50 | 2.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (190/306) | 68% (256/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (25/83) | 23% (15/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 42% (38/91) | 52% (76/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 12% (3/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.54 | 3.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | -0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 8', 1 - 0, Someno I. ⚽, Morita K. (A),
- 37', 1 - 1, Esaka A. ⚽, Kato H. (A),
- 45+2', Suzuki Y. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 2, Ichimi K. ⚽, Tabei R. (A),
- 45+4', 2 - 2, Hirao H. ⚽, Morita K. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Ichimi K. ↓, Lucao ↑,
- 46', Arai Y. ↓, Fukuda Y. ↑,
- 63', Esaka A. ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
- 63', Yanagi T. ↓, Matsumoto M. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 2, Fukuda Y. ⚽,
- 73', Kato H. ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
- 74', Someno I. ↓, Teranuma S. ↑,
- 74', Matsuhashi Y. ↓, Uchida Y. ↑,
- 76', Hirao H. ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
- 81', Kamiya Yuta ↓, Motoyama H. ↑,
- 81', Morita K. ↓, Inami T. ↑,
- 88', 4 - 2, Taniguchi H. ⚽, Fukuda Y. (A),
Chances of winning
Tokyo Verdy
46.4% | Draw
32.2% | Fagiano Okayama
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tokyo Verdy's performance.Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fagiano Okayama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tokyo Verdy that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fagiano Okayama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.4) |
3.12 ↑
(3.05) |
4.77 ↑
(3.3) |
0.4%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Okayama will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo Verdy: 21.7% – 78.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo Verdy (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- 1X2, 2nd Half - Tokyo Verdy (2.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Tokyo Verdy (3.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0, 1st Half - Okayama (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC, 2nd Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo Verdy (votes: 3 - 50%). Okayama (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 3.
- Tokyo Verdy has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Okayama has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tokyo Verdy is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Hirakawa R.
(Yellow Cards)
Yamada G.
(Knee Injury)
Yamami H.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Okayama: Sato R.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Fagiano Okayama?
Tokyo Verdy has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Tokyo Verdy?
Fagiano Okayama has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
29.04.2025
Fagiano Okayama
-
Tokyo Verdy
0:1
26.08.2023
Tokyo Verdy
-
Fagiano Okayama
2:3
11.06.2023
Fagiano Okayama
-
Tokyo Verdy
1:2
23.10.2022
Tokyo Verdy
-
Fagiano Okayama
2:0
Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 13 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 32 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 27:13 | 29 |
| 3 | Machida | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Verdy | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19:16 | 21 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20:23 | 20 |
| 6 | Mito | 13 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:27 | 16 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 15 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13:24 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 26 |
| 2 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 22 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23:21 | 22 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21:18 | 20 |
| 5 | Kyoto | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:18 | 17 |
| 8 | Okayama | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17:24 | 17 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:25 | 17 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13:20 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
