Jagiellonia Białystok vs Górnik Zabrze – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa
Result
1:2
24/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 30
  • Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicStrike, Strike
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
ukraineUkraineSport 3
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
worldWorldOnefootball, Sport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.021.63
Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
74
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
72
Passes
85% (431/510)78% (254/324)
Yellow cards
43
Expected goals (xG)
1.021.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.531.35
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
42
Blocked shots
74
Shots inside the box
95
Shots outside the box
95
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
3117
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1413
Passes
85% (431/510)78% (254/324)
Long passes
33% (9/27)31% (16/51)
Passes in final third
73% (117/161)60% (52/86)
Crosses
30% (7/23)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.60
Throw ins
1613
Fouls
1314
Tackles
74% (14/19)65% (13/20)
Duels won
5949
Clearances
2139
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
37
xGOT faced
1.350.53
Goals prevented
0.35-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Ikia Dimi Y. 🟨,
  • 33', Mazurek B. 🟨,
  • 40', Pululu A. 🟨,
  • 44', Sadilek L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 55', Ikia Dimi Y. ↓, Liseth S. ↑,
  • 57', Szmyt K. 🟨,
  • 62', Nahuel M. ↓, Bazdar S. ↑,
  • 64', 0 - 1, Mazurek B. (Own goal),
  • 76', Sadilek L. ↓, Bochniewicz P. ↑,
  • 77', Mazurek B. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
  • 80', Montoia G. ↓, Wdowik B. ↑,
  • 80', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Zalewski Z. ↑,
  • 84', Massimo R. ↓, Olkowski P. ↑,
  • 84', Khlan M. ↓, Lukoszek K. ↑,
  • 86', Josema 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Pululu A. ⚽,
  • 90+6', Wdowik B. 🟨,
  • 90+8', 1 - 2, Janicki R. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jagiellonia Białystok
42.3%		Draw
28.2%		Górnik Zabrze
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 28.6% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 28.9% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
    •

    Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.2 ↑
    (2.07)    		 3.28 ↑
    (3.09)    		 3.16 ↑
    (3.09)    		 7.4%
    (13%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 50.6% – 100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 2.
    • In recent matches, Jagiellonia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Górnik Zabrze is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Jagiellonia: Flach L. (Knee Injury) Jozwiak K. (Groin Injury) Pozo A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Górnik Zabrze: Janza E. (Injury) Liseth S. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:31. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:1
    04.05.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze 1:1
    03.11.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:2
    02.03.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:1
    27.08.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze 4:1
    Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
    19.04.2026 Arka Gdynia - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:3 ✺
    10.04.2026 Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:1 ✺
    04.04.2026 Jagiellonia Białystok - Lech Poznań 0:0 ✺
    21.03.2026 Jagiellonia Białystok - Wisła Płock 1:2 ✺
    17.03.2026 Jagiellonia Białystok - GKS Katowice 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
    18.04.2026 Górnik Zabrze - Korona Kielce 1:0 ✺
    11.04.2026 Legia Warsaw - Górnik Zabrze 1:1 ✺
    08.04.2026 Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Górnik Zabrze 0:1 ✺
    04.04.2026 Górnik Zabrze - Cracovia 3:0 ✺
    25.03.2026 Górnik Zabrze - Górnik 2 Zabrze 2:1
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan311510656:411555
    2Gornik Zabrze30147943:34949
    3GKS Katowice311451248:42647
    4Jagiellonia301210848:371146
    5Rakow301371043:37646
    6Zaglebie311291043:36745
    7Wisla Plock311291032:31145
    8Pogon Szczecin311251443:45-241
    9Piast Gliwice311171340:41-140
    10Legia31913935:36-140
    11Radomiak Radom3010101046:43340
    12Korona Kielce311091238:37139
    13Cracovia319121035:38-339
    14Motor Lublin319121039:46-739
    15Lechia Gdansk301271157:54338
    16Widzew Lodz311061536:38-236
    17Arka Gdynia30971431:54-2334
    18Termalica B-B31771737:60-2328

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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