Result
0:3
19/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 29
- Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | FOX Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 7 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
 Spain | Gol Play |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.89 | 1.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (284/347) | 82% (318/387) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.89 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 2.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (284/347) | 82% (318/387) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (23/44) | 36% (13/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (84/122) | 75% (57/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (9/33) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.63 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | 1.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', Gojny D. 🟨,
- 9', 0 - 1, Imaz J. ⚽, Pululu A. (A),
- 24', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
- 34', Kobayashi Y. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 2, Imaz J. ⚽, Pululu A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 66', Kocyla D. ↓, Rusyn N. ↑,
- 71', Imaz J. ↓, Bazdar S. ↑,
- 71', Pululu A. ↓, Nahuel M. ↑,
- 74', 0 - 3, Bazdar S. ⚽, Pozo A. (A),
- 76', Pozo A. 🟨,
- 78', Nguiamba A. ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
- 78', Zator D. ↓, Navarro M. ↑,
- 78', Kerk S. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
- 79', Pozo A. ↓, Zalewski Z. ↑,
- 80', Zalewski Z. 🟨,
- 84', Perea L. 🟨,
- 86', Kubiak O. ↓, Szysz P. ↑,
- 87', Szmyt K. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
- 87', Mazurek B. ↓, Kozlowski E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arka Gdynia
29.4% | Draw
27.9% | Jagiellonia Białystok
42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Arka Gdynia - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.16 ↑
(3.05) |
3.33 ↑
(3.09) |
2.17 ↑
(2.09) |
7.8%
(13%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Jagiellonia Białystok?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arka: 26.7% – 80.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Jagiellonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Jagiellonia has had a series of home games.
- Jagiellonia could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Arka: Weglarz D.
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Jagiellonia: Flach L.
(Knee Injury)
Jozwiak K.
(Groin Injury)
Konstantopoulos A.
(Health problems)
Rallis D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Stojinovic D.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:27. (average 1:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Arka Gdynia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Arka Gdynia?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arka Gdynia - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
18.10.2025
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Arka Gdynia
4:0
Latest results of Arka Gdynia
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 56:41 | 15 | 55 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | GKS Katowice | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 48:42 | 6 | 47 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 48:37 | 11 | 46 |
| 5 | Rakow | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Zaglebie | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 32:31 | 1 | 45 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 43:45 | -2 | 41 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 40:41 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 | Legia | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 35:36 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Radomiak Radom | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 40 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 39 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 39 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 39:46 | -7 | 39 |
| 15 | Lechia Gdansk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 57:54 | 3 | 38 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 36:38 | -2 | 36 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 34 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 37:60 | -23 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
