Result
1:1
10/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 28
- Referee: Malec P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Sporty TV |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 World | Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 1.09 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (191/263) | 81% (411/508) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.88 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (191/263) | 81% (411/508) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (20/47) | 39% (26/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (74/113) | 76% (86/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 0% (0/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 2.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 1 - 0, Remacle M. ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, Pululu A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 30', Zielinski J. 🟨,
- 31', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 74', Pululu A. ↓, Bazdar S. ↑,
- 74', Szmyt K. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
- 76', Remacle M. ↓, Gustafson S. ↑,
- 79', Pozo A. ↓, Wojtuszek N. ↑,
- 79', Imaz J. ↓, Zalewski Z. ↑,
- 82', Davidovic S. ↓, Antonin ↑,
- 82', Blanik D. ↓, Cebula M. ↑,
- 85', Mazurek B. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
- 90+3', Stepinski M. ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Korona Kielce
35.7% | Draw
26.8% | Jagiellonia Białystok
37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65
(2.65) |
3.51 ↑
(3.18) |
2.5 ↑
(2.28) |
6.2%
(13%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Jagiellonia Białystok will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 1.
- Korona has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Jagiellonia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Jagiellonia has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Korona: Sotiriou K.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Jagiellonia: Flach L.
(Knee Injury)
Jozwiak K.
(Groin Injury)
Konstantopoulos A.
(Health problems)
Piekutowski M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Stojinovic D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Korona won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:45. (average 1.1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.3:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Korona Kielce has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Korona Kielce?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
05.10.2025
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Korona Kielce
3:1
27.04.2025
Korona Kielce
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
3:1
27.10.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Korona Kielce
3:1
11.05.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Korona Kielce
3:0
28.02.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Korona Kielce
2:1
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 56:41 | 15 | 55 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | GKS Katowice | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 48:42 | 6 | 47 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 48:37 | 11 | 46 |
| 5 | Rakow | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Zaglebie | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 32:31 | 1 | 45 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 43:45 | -2 | 41 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 40:41 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 | Legia | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 35:36 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Radomiak Radom | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 40 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 39 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 39 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 39:46 | -7 | 39 |
| 15 | Lechia Gdansk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 57:54 | 3 | 38 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 36:38 | -2 | 36 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 34 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 37:60 | -23 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
