Result
2:0
09/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 12
- Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (298/395) | 72% (237/327) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (298/395) | 72% (237/327) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (29/71) | 34% (23/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (69/116) | 56% (49/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/26) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.91 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (22/27) | 36% (9/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.50 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', de Jonge T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Ogawa K. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
- 46', Ouwejan T. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 0, Sano K. ⚽, Onal B. (A),
- 58', van der Werff D. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 0, Shiogai K. ⚽, Linssen B. (A),
- 69', de Jonge T. ↓, Land T. ↑,
- 69', Taha Y. ↓, Seuntjens M. ↑,
- 71', Ouaissa S. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
- 82', Kaplan A. 🟨,
- 84', van Bergen T. ↓, Emeran N. ↑,
- 84', Schreuders J. ↓, Mendes R. ↑,
- 87', Linssen B. ↓, Lebreton N. ↑,
- 90', Sandler P. ↓, Fonville D. ↑,
Chances of winning
NEC Nijmegen
47.9% | Draw
25.5% | Groningen
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
NEC Nijmegen - Groningen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.85) |
3.73 ↓
(4.01) |
3.61 ↓
(3.73) |
4.8%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - Groningen?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Groningen will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 53.9% – 93.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Groningen (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Nijmegen has had a series of away games.
- Nijmegen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nijmegen: El Kachati Y.
(Inactive)
Entius F.
(Inactive)
Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Nijmegen: Onal B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Groningen: Hernes T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:24. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 2.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Groningen?
NEC Nijmegen has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against NEC Nijmegen?
Groningen has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - Groningen were as follows:
19.07.2025
Groningen
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:2
08.02.2025
Groningen
-
NEC Nijmegen
2:1
03.11.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Groningen
6:0
25.04.2023
Groningen
-
NEC Nijmegen
0:1
26.08.2022
NEC Nijmegen
-
Groningen
1:1
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Latest results of Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 82:40 | 42 | 71 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 61:40 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 71:47 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Twente | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 49:31 | 18 | 50 |
| 5 | Ajax | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 54:37 | 17 | 48 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49:45 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 53:47 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 35:47 | -12 | 42 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 45:35 | 10 | 41 |
| 10 | Groningen | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 42:37 | 5 | 41 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 50:45 | 5 | 35 |
| 12 | Sittard | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 43:54 | -11 | 35 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 38:58 | -20 | 33 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 30:48 | -18 | 28 |
| 15 | Telstar | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 38:48 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 29:49 | -20 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 24 |
| 18 | Heracles | 29 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 34:74 | -40 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
