Result
2:2
19/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Rwanda | Magic Sports TV |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 59', 1 - 0, Tshabalala S. ⚽,
- 68', 1 - 1, Nsabimana H. ⚽,
- 76', 2 - 1, Rudasingwa P. ⚽,
- 79', 2 - 2, Niyonkuru S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Kigali
33.7% | Draw
30% | Etincelles
36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kigali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kigali's form might have worsened.Etincelles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Etincelles's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (+13.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kigali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (-14.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Etincelles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kigali - Etincelles Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↑
(1.98) |
3.01 ↑
(2.89) |
2.49 ↓
(3.96) |
10.8%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Kigali - Etincelles?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Etincelles will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 1.
- Kigali is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Etincelles is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Kigali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Kigali has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Kigali is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kigali won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kigali won against Etincelles?
Kigali has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Etincelles won against Kigali?
Etincelles has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kigali - Etincelles were as follows:
07.01.2025
Etincelles
-
Kigali
1:0
06.12.2023
Etincelles
-
Kigali
4:2
24.02.2023
Etincelles
-
Kigali
2:2
Latest results of Etincelles
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gorilla | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Gasogi United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mukura Victory Sports | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Amagaju | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Bugesera | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Rayon Sport | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Marines | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | APR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Police | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Musanze | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Kiyovu | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Etincelles | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | Rutsiro | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | AS Kigali | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Gicumbi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Muhanga | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
