Result
1:1
15/05/2024 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
 Brazil | ESPN 4 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Netherlands | ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 107 | 65 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 53 | 21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Advincula L. 🟨,
- 29', Cavani E. 🟨,
- 35', Martinez D. 🟨,
- 39', Kuscevic B. 🟨,
- 45', Titi 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Figal J. ↓, Di Lollo L. ↑,
- 46', Britez E. ↓, Tinga ↑,
- 55', 1 - 0, Cavani E. ⚽, Blanco L. (A),
- 60', Hercules ↓, Matheus Rossetto ↑,
- 60', Yago Pikachu ↓, Marinho ↑,
- 61', Machuca I. ↓, Moises ↑,
- 70', Fernandez G. 🟨,
- 75', Pedro Augusto 🟨,
- 75', Miguel Merentiel 🟨,
- 76', Pedro Augusto ↓, Andrade K. ↑,
- 82', Medina C. ↓, Benitez M. ↑,
- 86', Fernandez G. ↓, Delgado M. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Andrade K. ⚽, Moises (A),
- 90+4', Fernandez I. ↓, Langoni L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Boca Juniors
50.4% | Draw
27.6% | Fortaleza
22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Boca Juniors - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.82) |
3.39 ↑
(3.3) |
4.25 ↓
(4.5) |
6.7%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Fortaleza?
Users Predictions:
Boca Juniors will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Boca Juniors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Boca Juniors have a series of guest games.
- In this match Boca Juniors is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.
- Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Fortaleza?
Boca Juniors has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Boca Juniors?
Fortaleza has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Fortaleza were as follows:
25.04.2024
Fortaleza
-
Boca Juniors
4:2
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Latest results of Fortaleza
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigre | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Macara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Juventud | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Atletico-MG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | O'Higgins | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Boston River | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Cuenca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Santos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Caracas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Independiente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Palestino | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Gremio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Vasco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Carabobo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | River Plate | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Blooming | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
