Result
0:1
28/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (429/496) | 81% (294/364) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (429/496) | 81% (294/364) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (31/58) | 38% (15/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (103/145) | 79% (81/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 42', Adimabua N. 🟥,
- 45+4', 0 - 1, Gaffney C. ⚽, Gomez S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Dodzi C. ↓, Khoury J. ↑,
- 51', Lopez A. 🟨,
- 57', Ricketts J. 🟨,
- 59', Rodriguez M. ↓, Lynch R. ↑,
- 59', Cowell C. ↓, Donnery J. ↑,
- 59', Fernandez N. ↓, Mendoza E. ↑,
- 63', Gaffney C. ↓, Veillard E. ↑,
- 71', Spivey K. ↓, Rajagopal R. ↑,
- 74', Carli E. ↓, Pedder R. ↑,
- 82', Ibarra R. ↓, Baptista D. ↑,
- 86', Medina C. 🟨,
- 90+4', Veillard E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
The Town
67% | Draw
18.1% | Tacoma Defiance
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
The Town - Tacoma Defiance Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.39) |
5.1 ↑
(5) |
6.15 ↑
(5.57) |
8.7%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
Preview Facts
- The Town is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- The Town has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tacoma is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tacoma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, The Town is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, The Town won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 2.2:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, The Town won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has The Town won against Tacoma Defiance?
The Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against The Town?
Tacoma Defiance has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between The Town - Tacoma Defiance were as follows:
03.07.2025
Tacoma Defiance
-
The Town
5:4
14.03.2025
Tacoma Defiance
-
The Town
3:1
25.08.2024
The Town
-
Tacoma Defiance
2:1
11.06.2024
The Town
-
Tacoma Defiance
2:1
25.04.2024
Tacoma Defiance
-
The Town
3:2
Latest results of The Town
Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Ventura County (8) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Real Monarchs (4) | Minnesota 2 (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Cincinnati 2 (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Chattanooga (4) | Huntsville (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Carolina Core (8) | 5 : 1 |
| 6 | New England Revolution II (3) | Chicago Fire II (6) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Town FC (2) | North Texas (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 (7) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Minnesota 2 (5) | |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Huntsville (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Chicago Fire II (6) | |
| 4 | Town FC (2) | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | |
