Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

31/08/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Zions Bank Stadium (Herriman, UT).

MLS Next Pro
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.73	0.91
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
7	6
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
1	7
Passes
87% (395/456)	87% (374/429)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73	0.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.74	0.14
Total shots
7	6
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
2	3
Blocked Shots
0	1
Shots inside the Box
4	3
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
1	7
Touches in opposition box
13	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	6
Free Kicks
14	10
Passes
87% (395/456)	87% (374/429)
Long passes
57% (26/46)	57% (20/35)
Passes in final third
74% (70/95)	71% (87/123)
Crosses
22% (2/9)	26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.56	0.56
Throw-ins
15	15
Fouls
10	13
Tackles
78% (7/9)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
30	41
Clearances
22	8
Interceptions
7	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.14	1.74
Goals prevented
0.14	-1.26

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Sandoval B. ⚽, Moisa L. (A), Jennings M. (A2)
42', Jennings M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Zambrano M. ↓, Barea J. ↑,
46', Rivera L. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
59', Sandoval B. ↓, Hezarkhani A. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Barea J. ⚽,
67', Carli E. ↓, Hassan O. ↑,
71', Dodzi C. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
71', Pedder R. ↓, Khoury J. ↑,
74', Hezarkhani A. 🟨,
76', Anderson O. ↓, Bell M. ↑,
85', Gaffney C. ↓, Diaw B. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Hezarkhani A. ⚽,
89', Farnsworth Z. ↓, Amparo I. ↑,
89', Dillon G. 🟨,
90+4', Diaw B. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Real Monarchs
54.3%

Draw
23.1%

Tacoma Defiance
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

25.1%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

24.5%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Monarchs's performance.

Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Monarchs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.89)	3.98 ↑ (3.62)	4.08 ↑ (3.38)	8.6% (10.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

Preview Facts

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 4.
Recent performances by Real Monarchs have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tacoma's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Tacoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Real Monarchs is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:31. (average 1.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.8:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Monarchs won against Tacoma Defiance?

Real Monarchs has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against Real Monarchs?

Tacoma Defiance has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance were as follows:

17.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs 2:3

11.06.2025 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 2:1

13.09.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs 1:2

11.08.2024 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 2:1

26.06.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs 3:0

Latest results of Real Monarchs

27.08.2025 The Town - Real Monarchs 1:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Real Monarchs - Minnesota United 2 3:2 ✺

17.08.2025 Real Monarchs - Los Angeles 2 0:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - Real Monarchs 0:4 ✺

03.08.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Real Monarchs 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Tacoma Defiance

24.08.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1 ✺

15.08.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1 ✺

10.08.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles 2 4:2 ✺

01.08.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County 4:6 ✺

27.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 1:2 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2026

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls II	5	3	0	2	0	11:5	11
2	Philadelphia Union II	5	3	1	0	1	8:4	11
3	Columbus Crew 2	6	3	1	0	2	10:9	11
4	New England Revolution II	5	2	2	0	1	6:4	10
5	Connecticut FC	5	2	0	0	3	8:11	6
6	Toronto FC II	5	1	0	2	2	10:7	5
7	Cincinnati 2	5	1	0	0	4	3:8	3
8	New York City II	4	0	1	1	2	1:7	3

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Crown Legacy	6	5	1	0	0	22:6	17
2	Chattanooga	6	3	0	1	2	13:11	10
3	Atlanta United 2	6	3	0	1	2	9:8	10
4	Chicago Fire II	5	1	3	0	1	4:4	9
5	Orlando City B	5	2	1	0	2	11:13	8
6	Huntsville	5	1	1	1	2	8:14	6
7	Inter Miami II	6	0	1	2	3	6:14	4
8	Carolina Core	5	0	0	2	3	5:10	2

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Ventura County	6	3	2	0	1	11:7	13
2	San Jose Earthquakes II	5	3	0	1	1	10:4	10
3	Real Monarchs	5	2	2	0	1	12:8	10
4	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	6	2	0	1	3	10:12	7
5	Los Angeles FC 2	5	1	1	2	1	10:12	7
6	Portland Timbers 2	4	1	1	1	1	2:6	6
7	Tacoma Defiance	6	0	1	1	4	3:10	3

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	6	4	2	0	0	16:6	16
2	Houston Dynamo 2	5	4	1	0	0	14:1	14
3	North Texas	6	2	1	1	2	11:9	9
4	Austin FC II	5	2	0	2	1	7:7	8
5	Minnesota 2	5	2	0	0	3	6:8	6
6	Sporting Kansas City II	7	0	1	1	5	5:20	3
7	Colorado Rapids 2	5	0	0	2	3	6:13	2

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Crown Legacy	6	5	1	0	0	22:6	17
2	New York Red Bulls II	5	3	0	2	0	11:5	11
3	Philadelphia Union II	5	3	1	0	1	8:4	11
4	Columbus Crew 2	6	3	1	0	2	10:9	11
5	Chattanooga	6	3	0	1	2	13:11	10
6	Atlanta United 2	6	3	0	1	2	9:8	10
7	New England Revolution II	5	2	2	0	1	6:4	10
8	Chicago Fire II	5	1	3	0	1	4:4	9
9	Orlando City B	5	2	1	0	2	11:13	8
10	Connecticut FC	5	2	0	0	3	8:11	6
11	Huntsville	5	1	1	1	2	8:14	6
12	Toronto FC II	5	1	0	2	2	10:7	5
13	Inter Miami II	6	0	1	2	3	6:14	4
14	Cincinnati 2	5	1	0	0	4	3:8	3
15	New York City II	4	0	1	1	2	1:7	3
16	Carolina Core	5	0	0	2	3	5:10	2

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	6	4	2	0	0	16:6	16
2	Houston Dynamo 2	5	4	1	0	0	14:1	14
3	Ventura County	6	3	2	0	1	11:7	13
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	5	3	0	1	1	10:4	10
5	Real Monarchs	5	2	2	0	1	12:8	10
6	North Texas	6	2	1	1	2	11:9	9
7	Austin FC II	5	2	0	2	1	7:7	8
8	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	6	2	0	1	3	10:12	7
9	Los Angeles FC 2	5	1	1	2	1	10:12	7
10	Minnesota 2	5	2	0	0	3	6:8	6
11	Portland Timbers 2	4	1	1	1	1	2:6	6
12	Tacoma Defiance	6	0	1	1	4	3:10	3
13	Sporting Kansas City II	7	0	1	1	5	5:20	3
14	Colorado Rapids 2	5	0	0	2	3	6:13	2

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)