Result
28/06/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 2.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (185/246) | 90% (577/641) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 2.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 3.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 44 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (185/246) | 90% (577/641) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (17/37) | 71% (24/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (25/43) | 81% (195/241) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.19 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | 1.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Gianini Dantas N. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Riski Ro. (Pen),
- 39', Gianini Dantas N. 🟥,
- 42', Lucas Cini ↓, Friberg N. ↑,
- 42', Ala-Myllymaki L. ↓, Stjopin M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Ulundu V. ↓, Jukkola O. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 2, Stjopin M. ⚽, Soderback M. (A),
- 57', Parfitt-Williams D. ↓, Sejdiu A. ↑,
- 57', Multanen K. ↓, Akintunde J. ↑,
- 75', Wallius K. ↓, Kanga J. ↑,
- 75', Riski Ro. ↓, Hytonen T. ↑,
- 76', Lindholm S. ↓, Purosalo V. ↑,
- 76', Houston J. ↓, Sallinen O. ↑,
- 83', Kanga J. 🟨,
- 84', Mommo E. 🟨,
- 88', 0 - 3, Friberg N. (Own goal),
- 89', Soderback M. ↓, Moisio J. ↑,
- 90+3', 0 - 4, Hytonen T. ⚽, Moisio J. (A),
Chances of winning
Haka
21.4% | Draw
22.5% | Ilves
56.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Haka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilves's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haka than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Haka - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.36 ↑
(3.65) |
4.14 ↑
(3.82) |
1.69 ↓
(1.94) |
6.3%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Haka - Ilves?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Ilves will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haka won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Haka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ilves is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Haka won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Haka won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Haka won against Ilves?
Haka has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Haka?
Ilves has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Haka - Ilves were as follows:
09.05.2025
Ilves
-
Haka
3:2
14.09.2024
Ilves
-
Haka
3:2
15.07.2024
Haka
-
Ilves
4:3
17.05.2024
Ilves
-
Haka
5:0
16.02.2024
Ilves
-
Haka
2:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 25:15 | 10 | 29 |
| 2 | Ilves | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 32:16 | 16 | 28 |
| 3 | Inter Turku | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 26:9 | 17 | 27 |
| 4 | SJK | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:21 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | HJK | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 30:17 | 13 | 23 |
| 6 | VPS | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:19 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Gnistan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 8 | Haka | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:23 | -7 | 15 |
| 9 | Mariehamn | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14:29 | -15 | 15 |
| 10 | Jaro | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | KTP | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14:33 | -19 | 9 |
| 12 | AC Oulu | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Haka - Ilves?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
