Burton Albion vs Cambridge United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 45
  • Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.190.50
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
612
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
73% (210/287)77% (298/389)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.190.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.841.66
Total shots
612
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
04
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2219
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
714
Passes
73% (210/287)77% (298/389)
Long passes
42% (20/48)38% (24/64)
Passes in final third
61% (65/107)56% (63/112)
Crosses
12% (3/25)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.360.41
Throw-ins
2422
Fouls
147
Tackles
17% (2/12)38% (8/21)
Duels won
4856
Clearances
2420
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.661.84
Goals prevented
0.66-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', McKiernan J. J. 🟨,
  • 33', Stokes J. , Loft R. ,
  • 33', Kaikai S. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Loft R. 🟥,
  • 45+4', McKiernan J. J. 🟨,
  • 45+8', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Dodgson O. , Forde A. ,
  • 46', Bennett L. , Kachunga E. ,
  • 48', 1 - 0, Bodvarsson J. ,
  • 52', Stevens J. , Bishop N. ,
  • 59', Digby P. , Lavery S. ,
  • 71', Lofthouse K. , Delap F. ,
  • 77', Watts K. , Andrew D. ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Kachunga E. ,
  • 87', Bodvarsson J. , Bennett M. ,
  • 87', Burrell R. , Tavares F. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Williams D. ,

Chances of winning


Burton Albion
47.8%
Draw
27.8%
Cambridge United
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 25.9% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 25% 22.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Burton Albion - Cambridge United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.84)
    3.4
    (3.61)
    3.87
    (4.05)
    6.1%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Cambridge United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Burton Albion will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Burton Albion will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Burton won 2.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • In this match Burton is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Burton: Akoto N. (Inactive) Bajrami G. (Knee Injury) Gilligan C. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cambridge: Gardner G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jobe M. (Knee Injury) Malone S. (Inactive) Marosi M. (Hamstring Injury) Smith K. (Inactive) Thomas G. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burton: Godwin-Malife U. (Injury) Jones J. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cambridge: Ibsen Rossi Z. (Inactive) N'Lundulu D. (Inactive)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Burton won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:20 (average 1.4:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.6:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Cambridge United were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Cambridge United - Burton Albion 1:0
    27.01.2024 Cambridge United - Burton Albion 0:0
    09.10.2023 Burton Albion - Cambridge United 2:1
    03.05.2023 Burton Albion - Cambridge United 1:0
    27.08.2022 Cambridge United - Burton Albion 4:3
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    Latest results of Cambridge United
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two