Result
 
                    2:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        05/05/2024 at  09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  ITALY: Serie B - Round 37
 
                                                - Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
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|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.71 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 37% | 63% | 
| Goal Attempts | 
|---|
| 6 | 7 | 
| Shots on Goal | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Shots off Goal | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 17 | 20 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 8 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 15 | 26 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 11 | 12 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Total Passes | 
|---|
| 236 | 401 | 
| Completed Passes | 
|---|
| 180 | 337 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 16 | 10 | 
| Attacks | 
|---|
| 68 | 130 | 
| Dangerous Attacks | 
|---|
| 38 | 55 | 
| Clearances Completed | 
|---|
| 25 | 11 | 
| Crosses Completed | 
|---|
| 10 | 18 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
 - 1', 1 - 0, Brunori M. ⚽, Soleri E. (A), 
 - 16', Diakite S. 🟨, 
 - 27', 1 - 1, Caligara F. ⚽, Celia R. (A), 
 - 34', 2 - 1, Soleri E. ⚽, Segre J. (A), 
 - 45+1', Di Tacchio F. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 1)
 - 57', Gomes C. ↓, Henderson L. ↑, 
 - 57', Valzania L. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑, 
 - 57', Di Tacchio F. ↓, Masini P. ↑, 
 - 58', Tarantino J. ↓, Nestorovski I. ↑, 
 - 65', Celia R. ↓, D'Uffizi S. ↑, 
 - 68', Ranocchia F. ↓, Di Francesco F. ↑, 
 - 73', Henderson L. 🟨, 
 - 82', Falzerano M. ↓, Duris D. ↑, 
 - 83', Brunori M. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑, 
 - 83', Ceccaroni P. ↓, Marconi I. ↑, 
 - 83', Nedelcearu I. ↓, Stulac L. ↑, 
 - 90', Lucioni F. 🟨, 
 - 90+3', 2 - 2, Caligara F. ⚽, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Palermo  42% | Draw  30.4% | Ascoli  27.5% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Palermo - Ascoli Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.25 ↑ (2.09) | 
			   3.12 ↓ (3.45) | 
			   3.45 ↓ (3.49) | 
			   5.4% (5.6%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Palermo - Ascoli?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            11 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Ascoli will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 16.1% – 74.9%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
 - Last 5 head-to-head matches Palermo won 4. 
 - Palermo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0). 
 - Recent matches Ascoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1). 
 - Palermo will have a small advantage in this match.
 - Last 7 head-to-head matches Palermo won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-6. 
 - Including matches at home between the teams Palermo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Ascoli?
                    
                    
                        
                            Palermo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Ascoli won against Palermo?
                    
                    
                        
                             Ascoli has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Ascoli were as follows:
                                                        
                                16.09.2023 
                                Ascoli 
                                - 
                                Palermo 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                29.01.2023 
                                Ascoli 
                                - 
                                Palermo 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                27.08.2022 
                                Palermo 
                                - 
                                Ascoli 
                                2:3
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Palermo                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Modena | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19:6 | 13 | 24 | 
| 2 | Monza | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 23 | 
| 3 | Frosinone | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:9 | 11 | 21 | 
| 4 | Cesena | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 | 
| 5 | Palermo | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 | 
| 6 | Venezia | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 16 | 
| 7 | Avellino | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 | 
| 8 | Catanzaro | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 | 
| 9 | Reggiana | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 15 | 
| 10 | Carrarese | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 | 
| 11 | Padova | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 | 
| 12 | Juve Stabia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 | 
| 13 | Entella | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 13 | 
| 14 | Bari | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 12 | 
| 15 | Sudtirol | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 11 | 
| 16 | Empoli | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 | 
| 17 | Pescara | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15:23 | -8 | 8 | 
| 18 | Mantova | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:18 | -10 | 8 | 
| 19 | Spezia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | 
| 20 | Sampdoria | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 | 
      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation