Result
2:1
23/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 1
- Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3 |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (297/352) | 83% (298/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.52 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (297/352) | 83% (298/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (20/38) | 38% (16/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (68/96) | 67% (60/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (11/26) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 40% (4/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 3.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.79 | 1.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', Diakite S. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Pierozzi N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Diakite S. ↓, Peda P. ↑,
- 52', Papetti A. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 1, Tavsan E. ⚽, Bertagnoli M. (A),
- 64', 2 - 1, Pierozzi N. ⚽, Segre J. (A),
- 69', Brunori M. ↓, Le Douaron J. ↑,
- 70', Gyasi E. ↓, Blin A. ↑,
- 76', Libutti L. ↓, Rozzio P. ↑,
- 79', Ranocchia F. ↓, Palumbo A. ↑,
- 79', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
- 87', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Corona G. ↑,
- 88', Reinhart T. ↓, Stulac L. ↑,
- 88', Rover M. ↓, Conte O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Palermo
59.1% | Draw
24.5% | Reggiana
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palermo's performance.Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reggiana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Palermo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Palermo - Reggiana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.81) |
3.83 ↑
(3.51) |
5.62 ↑
(4.33) |
5.7%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palermo - Reggiana?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Reggiana will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 50.9% – 95.7%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Palermo will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Palermo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Reggiana has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Palermo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Palermo has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Palermo is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Palermo: Magnani G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Reggiana: Pettinari S.
(Calf Injury)
Sampirisi M.
(Injury)
- We predict that Palermo will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palermo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Reggiana?
Palermo has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reggiana won against Palermo?
Reggiana has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Reggiana were as follows:
26.01.2025
Reggiana
-
Palermo
2:1
26.10.2024
Palermo
-
Reggiana
2:0
27.04.2024
Palermo
-
Reggiana
1:2
29.08.2023
Reggiana
-
Palermo
1:3
Latest results of Palermo
Latest results of Reggiana
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 68:29 | 39 | 72 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 65:33 | 32 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 53:27 | 26 | 69 |
| 4 | Palermo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 65 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 53:42 | 11 | 55 |
| 6 | Modena | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 46:31 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 41:41 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Cesena | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42:50 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Mantova | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 40 |
| 13 | Avellino | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 43:49 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 | Entella | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 17 | Bari | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:53 | -20 | 34 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 19 | Pescara | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47:61 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Spezia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 32:51 | -19 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
