Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN 1
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.160.57
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
85% (411/485)85% (400/471)
Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.160.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.880.51
Total shots
109
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2718
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
35
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
85% (411/485)85% (400/471)
Long passes
44% (23/52)65% (42/65)
Passes in final third
71% (87/123)70% (104/149)
Crosses
35% (7/20)6% (1/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.77
Throw-ins
1218
Fouls
1110
Tackles
70% (16/23)73% (8/11)
Duels won
5738
Clearances
2827
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.510.88
Goals prevented
0.51-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, de La Vega P. , Roldan A. (A), Ferreira J. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Kim Kee-Hee , Bell J. ,
  • 65', de La Vega P. , Minoungou G. ,
  • 65', Morris J. , Musovski D. ,
  • 70', Ferreira J. , Leyva D. ,
  • 78', Smith I. 🟨,
  • 79', Kelsy K. , Guerra G. ,
  • 79', Smith I. , Lassiter A. ,
  • 79', Ayala D. , Chara D. ,
  • 84', Paredes C. , Mora F. ,
  • 85', Pereira da Costa D. , Fernandez O. ,
  • 87', Rothrock P. , Joao Paulo ,
  • 90+4', Rusnak A. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Seattle Sounders
54.8%
Draw
23.3%
Portland Timbers
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.1% 23.2% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 22.8% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.77)
    4.07
    (4.05)
    4.38
    (3.98)
    5.3%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 50.6%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Seattle (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Seattle Sounders will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Seattle (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Portland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Seattle is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Seattle: Arriola P. (Knee Injury) Baker-Whiting R. (International duty) Hawkins S. (Thigh Injury) Kent R. (Muscle Injury) Vargas O. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Portland: Carballo F. (Lower-Body Injury) Rodriguez J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Seattle: Gomez Andrade Y. (Injury) Roldan A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Seattle won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.8:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders 1:1
    19.10.2024 Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers 1:1
    31.08.2024 Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders 1:0
    12.05.2024 Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders 1:2
    02.09.2023 Seattle Sounders - Portland Timbers 2:2
    Latest results of Seattle Sounders
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC651014:01416
    2Vancouver Whitecaps650117:41315
    3San Jose Earthquakes650110:1915
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6FC Dallas632114:9511
    7San Diego FC632113:8511
    8Colorado Rapids630313:1039
    9Minnesota United62226:12-68
    10Houston Dynamo52038:10-26
    11Austin FC61327:9-26
    12Los Angeles Galaxy61238:10-25
    13St. Louis City61235:8-35
    14Portland Timbers61149:15-64
    15Sporting Kansas City61146:14-84


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC641113:31013
    2New York City632114:7711
    3Charlotte632112:7511
    4Inter Miami632111:10111
    5Chicago Fire63128:5310
    6Toronto FC63129:10-110
    7New York Red Bulls63129:13-410
    8DC United62134:8-47
    9New England Revolution520311:926
    10FC Cincinnati62049:15-66
    11Columbus Crew61238:9-15
    12Atlanta Utd61146:11-54
    13CF Montreal61057:17-103
    14Orlando City61055:23-183
    15Philadelphia Union60064:11-70

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)