Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NWSL Women
- Referee: Snyder T. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Usa | ion TV, NSWL+, NWSL+ app, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (347/430) | 81% (354/439) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (347/430) | 81% (354/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (21/55) | 42% (19/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (53/85) | 62% (80/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 88% (14/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.39 | -1.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, Huff T. ⚽, Lema K. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', 1 - 1, Moultrie O. ⚽, Coffey S. (A),
- 61', Tordin P. ↓, Loboa V. ↑,
- 61', Spaanstra A. ↓, Alidou d'Anjou M. ↑,
- 62', Hill R. ↓, Hocking P. ↑,
- 68', Hocking P. 🟨,
- 69', 2 - 1, Moultrie O. ⚽,
- 72', Vignola M. ↓, Torpey K. ↑,
- 76', Boade T. ↓, Paulson C. ↑,
- 76', Lema K. ↓, Conti C. ↑,
- 81', Huff T. ↓, Moreau M. ↑,
- 90+1', Turner R. ↓, Mckenzie M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Portland Thorns
53.7% | Draw
24.2% | Bay FC
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Thorns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Bay FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Thorns than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Thorns that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bay FC than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Portland Thorns - Bay FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.62) |
3.78 ↓
(3.84) |
4.21 ↓
(4.83) |
8.8%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
- Portland Thorns has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bay's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Portland Thorns is considered a favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portland Thorns won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Portland Thorns won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Portland Thorns won against Bay FC?
Portland Thorns has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bay FC won against Portland Thorns?
Bay FC has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Thorns - Bay FC were as follows:
07.06.2025
Bay FC
-
Portland Thorns
1:0
30.08.2024
Portland Thorns
-
Bay FC
1:3
01.05.2024
Bay FC
-
Portland Thorns
2:3
Latest results of Portland Thorns
NWSL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kansas City Current W ✔ | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 45:11 | 34 | 59 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit W | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 39:28 | 11 | 43 |
| 3 | Orlando Pride W | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 36 |
| 4 | Gotham W | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 31:18 | 13 | 35 |
| 5 | Seattle Reign W | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 29:27 | 2 | 35 |
| 6 | Portland Thorns W | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 32:29 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Racing Louisville W | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:36 | -4 | 33 |
| 8 | San Diego Wave W | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29:35 | -6 | 28 |
| 10 | Houston Dash W | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 26:35 | -9 | 27 |
| 11 | Angel City W | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 28:37 | -9 | 24 |
| 12 | Utah Royals W | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 22 |
| 13 | Bay FC W | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 20 |
| 14 | Chicago W | 24 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 29:47 | -18 | 17 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Kansas City Current W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
