Result
1:0
12/09/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (387/477) | 75% (294/390) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (387/477) | 75% (294/390) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (32/62) | 47% (27/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (114/151) | 63% (69/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/15) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', 1 - 0, Bou W. ⚽, Salvio E. (A),
- 64', Cardillo M. ↓, Bonifacio E. ↑,
- 64', Osella A. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
- 72', Amarfil M. ↓, Bucca L. ↑,
- 72', Fernandez M. ↓, Retamar K. ↑,
- 75', Segovia A. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
- 75', Bou W. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
- 80', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
- 80', Sartori F. ↓, Bergara M. ↑,
- 86', Castillo R. 🟥,
- 89', Salvio E. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
- 90', Medina A. ↓, Perez G. ↑,
- 90+1', Morgantini N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lanús
46.2% | Draw
31.9% | Independiente Rivadavia
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(1.89) |
2.97 ↓
(3.1) |
4.34 ↓
(4.58) |
4.5%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia?
Users Predictions:
Lanús will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Lanús is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Lanús: Carrera R.
(Muscle Injury)
De Jesus R.
(Head Injury)
Loaiza R.
(Knee Injury)
Ortellado F.
(Knee Injury)
Pena Biafore F.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Independiente R: Costa L.
(Red Card)
Peinipil M.
(Injury)
Ramis V.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lanús won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Independiente Rivadavia?
Lanús has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Rivadavia won against Lanús?
Independiente Rivadavia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia were as follows:
02.03.2025
Independiente Rivadavia
-
Lanús
1:1
12.05.2024
Lanús
-
Independiente Rivadavia
0:2
Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 4 | Tigre | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 | Estudiantes L.P | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Huracan | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Argentinos Jrs | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 10 | Banfield | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Belgrano | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3:14 | -11 | 6 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Lanus | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 20 |
| 4 | River Plate | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Rosario Central | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 13 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Instituto | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 12 |
| 11 | San Martin S.J | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Platense | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Independiente | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
