Result
0:2
02/04/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 13
- Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.01 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (239/316) | 75% (264/350) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (239/316) | 75% (264/350) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/56) | 44% (36/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (65/99) | 59% (63/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 53% (8/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.97 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 83% (15/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.69 | 1.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', Moreyra S. 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 1, Florentin Bobadilla J. I. ⚽, Villa S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Elias J. ↓, Medina S. ↑,
- 63', Moreyra S. ↓, Bucca L. ↑,
- 66', Sartori F. 🟨,
- 69', Sartori F. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
- 69', Martinez P. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
- 69', Fernandez M. ↓, Rios G. ↑,
- 79', Lopez S. ↓, Serrago T. ↑,
- 79', Arias R. ↓, Pineiro G. ↑,
- 79', Leyes B. ↓, Soto G. ↑,
- 80', Bonifacio E. ↓, Villalba I. ↑,
- 81', Atencio R. ↓, Elordi J. M. ↑,
- 83', 0 - 2, Bucca L. ⚽, Villa S. (A),
- 88', Russo I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tigre
42.4% | Draw
31.4% | Independiente Rivadavia
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.32) |
2.98 ↓
(3.11) |
3.59 ↑
(3.28) |
6.2%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Tigre will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tigre: 30.4% – 86.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Recent form of Tigre has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Independiente R's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tigre is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Tigre: Gonzalez S.
(Knee Injury)
Lezcano S.
(Inactive)
Moreno V.
(Knee Injury)
Saralegui J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Independiente R: Macagno R.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tigre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tigre won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tigre won against Independiente Rivadavia?
Tigre has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Rivadavia won against Tigre?
Independiente Rivadavia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia were as follows:
05.09.2025
Tigre
-
Independiente Rivadavia
1:3
22.08.2025
Tigre
-
Independiente Rivadavia
1:1
15.02.2025
Independiente Rivadavia
-
Tigre
1:4
09.12.2024
Tigre
-
Independiente Rivadavia
0:2
Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. ✔ | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors ✔ | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba ✔ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus ✔ | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Instituto | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:26 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | River Plate ✔ | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs ✔ | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central ✔ | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 23 |
| 7 | Huracan | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Tigre | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13:16 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 7 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5:22 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
