Result
1:1
25/08/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 6
- Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (317/435) | 78% (383/488) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (317/435) | 78% (383/488) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (34/70) | 32% (15/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (79/123) | 59% (48/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 77% (17/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Miguel Borja ↓, Salas M. ↑,
- 46', Meza J. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
- 56', Segovia A. ↓, Watson F. N. ↑,
- 63', Boselli S. ↓, Montiel G. ↑,
- 63', Colidio F. ↓, Driussi S. ↑,
- 66', Medina A. 🟨,
- 74', Perez G. ↓, Mendez A. ↑,
- 75', Salvio E. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 1, Montiel G. ⚽, Giuliano Galoppo (A),
- 78', Giuliano Galoppo ↓, Costantini G. ↑,
- 87', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Bou W. ↑,
- 87', Medina A. ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
- 90', Salas M. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Castillo R. ⚽, Bou W. (A),
Chances of winning
Lanús
30.2% | Draw
32.8% | River Plate
37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lanús - River Plate Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↓
(3.46) |
2.87 ↓
(3.03) |
2.55 ↑
(2.31) |
6.1%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Lanús - River Plate?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). River Plate will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - River Plate (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 0.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Lanús: De Jesus R.
(Head Injury)
Loaiza R.
(Knee Injury)
Ortellado F.
(Knee Injury)
Pena Biafore F.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in River Plate: Bustos F.
(Injury)
Meza M.
(Knee Injury)
Pezzella G.
(Knee Injury)
Ruberto A.
(Knee Injury)
Salas M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lanús won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against River Plate?
Lanús has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate won against Lanús?
River Plate has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - River Plate were as follows:
16.02.2025
River Plate
-
Lanús
1:0
21.07.2024
River Plate
-
Lanús
2:2
04.03.2023
Lanús
-
River Plate
0:2
Latest results of River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. ✔ | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors ✔ | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba ✔ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente ✔ | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus ✔ | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo ✔ | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Instituto | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:26 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate ✔ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs ✔ | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central ✔ | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano ✔ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. ✔ | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5:22 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Independiente is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
San Lorenzo is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Belgrano is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Gimnasia L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
