Result
1:0
26/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | AYM Sports, Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Aym Sports |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', 1 - 0, Trejo C. ⚽, Zabala L. (A),
- 35', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. 🟨,
- 45+2', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↓, Uribe J. ↑,
- 46', Jimenez L. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
- 56', Trejo C. ↓, Ochoa I. ↑,
- 63', Cendejas M. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
- 70', Uscanga P. ↓, Guillen D. ↑,
- 70', Melendre F. ↓, Preciado G. ↑,
- 71', Ledesma L. 🟨,
- 85', Ledesma L. ↓, Freyfeld E. ↑,
- 88', Rodriguez J. ↓, Barraza L. ↑,
- 88', Campos K. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
- 89', Moragrega V. 🟨,
- 90+6', Tellez B. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Cancún
45% | Draw
26.5% | Tapatío
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Tapatío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cancún, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tapatío, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cancún - Tapatío Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(1.84) |
3.49 ↓
(3.57) |
3.24 ↓
(3.77) |
8.1%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 2.
- Cancún is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tapatío is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cancún may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Cancún might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 0.8:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cancún won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cancún won against Tapatío?
Cancún has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Cancún?
Tapatío has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cancún - Tapatío were as follows:
23.04.2026
Tapatío
-
Cancún
1:1
06.03.2026
Tapatío
-
Cancún
1:2
27.09.2025
Cancún
-
Tapatío
1:0
05.04.2025
Cancún
-
Tapatío
1:2
20.10.2024
Tapatío
-
Cancún
2:0
Latest results of Tapatío
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Atlante (8) | 2 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia (3) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 2 : 0, 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Cancun (2) | Tapatio (7) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz (4) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Cancun (2) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 2 |
Final
