Leixões vs Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
28/02/2024 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 20
  • Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV

Chances of winning


Leixões
32.2%
Draw
28.7%
Nacional
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.6% 29.4% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5% 31.5% 41.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Leixões - Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.87
    (3)
    3.22
    (3.23)
    2.37
    (2.43)
    8.1%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Leixões - Nacional?
  • Users Predictions: Nacional will win (46 of 58 users predict this - 79.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.88%89.74%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Leixões won 2.
    • Leixões is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Nacional is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Leixões won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-18.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leixões won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leixões - Nacional were as follows:
    28.08.2023 Nacional - Leixões 3:1
    19.02.2023 Nacional - Leixões 1:2
    28.08.2022 Leixões - Nacional 3:0
    Latest results of Leixões
    24.02.2024 Porto B - Leixões 0:2
    10.02.2024 Benfica B - Leixões 1:1
    28.01.2024 Santa Clara - Leixões 2:0
    21.01.2024 Leixões - Penafiel 0:1
    Latest results of Nacional
    24.02.2024 Nacional - Penafiel 3:2
    18.02.2024 Feirense - Nacional 2:1
    10.02.2024 Nacional - Vilaverdense 3:2
    28.01.2024 Nacional - Torreense 2:1
    21.01.2024 Marítimo - Nacional 3:1
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo27175543:212256
    2Academico Viseu27155750:282250
    3Torreense271431035:27845
    4Vizela27128736:31544
    5Leiria26118741:34741
    6Sporting CP B271321239:261341
    7FC Porto B271151133:35-238
    8Lusitania FC271071037:44-737
    9Benfica B27910837:32537
    10Chaves271061129:26336
    11Feirense27981030:32-235
    12Leixoes271041332:49-1734
    13Felgueiras27791124:34-1030
    14Pacos Ferreira26791026:37-1130
    15Penafiel27781222:26-429
    16SC Farense27781223:33-1029
    17Portimonense27761429:40-1127
    18Oliveirense27691226:37-1127

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3