Result
3:2
24/02/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 23
- Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Chances of winning
Nacional
54.4% | Draw
25.6% | Penafiel
20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Nacional - Penafiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.79) |
3.63 ↑
(3.6) |
4.58 ↑
(4.34) |
8%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nacional - Penafiel?
Users Predictions:
Nacional will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 3.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- In this match Nacional is a favorite.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Nacional won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-11.
- Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Penafiel?
Nacional has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Nacional?
Penafiel has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - Penafiel were as follows:
02.10.2023
Penafiel
-
Nacional
1:4
22.07.2023
Nacional
-
Penafiel
1:0
16.04.2023
Penafiel
-
Nacional
3:0
29.10.2022
Nacional
-
Penafiel
1:1
Latest results of Nacional
Latest results of Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 40:32 | 8 | 53 |
| 4 | Leiria | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Feirense | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 45 |
| 8 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 10 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 11 | Chaves | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 40 |
| 14 | SC Farense | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 39 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 16 | Portimonense | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 36 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 31:46 | -15 | 35 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
