Nice vs Olympique Marseille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
1:5
21/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 13
  • Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kenyaKenyaGotv
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 4
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.202.87
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
711
Big Chances
36
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
90% (446/498)88% (411/465)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.202.87
xG on target (xGOT)
1.693.68
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
711
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
36
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
2521
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
109
Passes
90% (446/498)88% (411/465)
Long passes
64% (14/22)42% (15/36)
Passes in final third
75% (91/122)87% (59/68)
Crosses
22% (6/27)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.120.86
Throw-ins
92
Fouls
910
Tackles
50% (4/8)58% (7/12)
Duels won
3132
Clearances
728
Interceptions
914
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
66
xGOT faced
3.681.69
Goals prevented
-1.320.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Aubameyang P. ⚽, Pavard B. (A),
  • 14', Mendy A. 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 2, Greenwood M. ⚽,
  • 37', Abdi A. 🟨,
  • 37', Rulli G. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Kondogbia G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 53', 0 - 3, Greenwood M. ⚽, Balerdi L. (A),
  • 58', 0 - 4, Weah T. ⚽, Aubameyang P. (A),
  • 63', 1 - 4, Cho M. ⚽, Diop S. (A),
  • 68', Abdul Samed S. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
  • 68', Moffi T. ↓, Boga J. ↑,
  • 68', Peprah K. ↓, Abdi A. ↑,
  • 70', Kondogbia G. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
  • 70', Gomes A. ↓, O'Riley M. ↑,
  • 74', 1 - 5, Paixao I. ⚽, Aubameyang P. (A),
  • 77', Aubameyang P. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
  • 77', Balerdi L. ↓, Egan-Riley C. ↑,
  • 77', Diop S. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
  • 89', Paixao I. ↓, Maupay N. ↑,

Chances of winning


Nice
26%		Draw
25.4%		Olympique Marseille
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.9% 24.8% 49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7% 24.7% 49.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+1%)
    •

    Nice - Olympique Marseille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.71 ↑
    (3.65)    		 3.79 ↓
    (3.81)    		 1.99 ↑
    (1.92)    		 3.7%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Nice - Olympique Marseille?
  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 5 - 12.5%). Marseille will win (votes: 28 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 55.8% – 84.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Nice (1.80) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Nice (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olympique Marseille will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Nice (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Marseille (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Marseille is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Dante (Knee Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Marseille: Aguerd N. (Groin Injury) Gouiri A. (Shoulder Injury) Medina F. (Ankle Injury) Murillo M. (Tendon Injury) Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nice: Abdi A. (Injury) Boudaoui H. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nice won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Nice - Olympique Marseille 2:0
    14.09.2024 Olympique Marseille - Nice 2:0
    24.04.2024 Olympique Marseille - Nice 2:2
    21.10.2023 Nice - Olympique Marseille 1:0
    05.02.2023 Olympique Marseille - Nice 1:3
    Latest results of Nice
    09.11.2025 Metz - Nice 2:1 ✺
    06.11.2025 Nice - Freiburg 1:3 ✺
    01.11.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Nice 1:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Nice - Lille 2:0 ✺
    26.10.2025 Rennes - Nice 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    08.11.2025 Olympique Marseille - Brest 3:0 ✺
    05.11.2025 Olympique Marseille - Atalanta 0:1 ✺
    01.11.2025 Auxerre - Olympique Marseille 0:1 ✺
    29.10.2025 Olympique Marseille - Angers 2:2 ✺
    25.10.2025 Lens - Olympique Marseille 2:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG24183353:193457
    2Lens24172545:212453
    3Lyon24143739:261345
    4Marseille24134751:331843
    5Lille24124837:31640
    6Rennes24117638:35340
    7Monaco24114940:36437
    8Strasbourg24105940:31935
    9Brest2496932:34-233
    10Lorient2489734:38-433
    11Toulouse2487933:28531
    12Angers24851122:30-829
    13Le Havre24681020:30-1026
    14Paris FC24681028:40-1226
    15Nice24661230:44-1424
    16Auxerre24461419:35-1618
    17Nantes24451522:41-1917
    18Metz24341722:53-3113

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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