Result
1:1
26/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 31
- Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now |
 Albania | SuperSport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5P |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 4 |
 Mexico | FOX+, FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Variety 4 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 1.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (575/655) | 74% (220/299) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (575/655) | 74% (220/299) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (16/27) | 24% (11/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (147/183) | 59% (24/41) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 34% (11/32) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.76 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Emerson 🟨,
- 44', Wahi E. 🟨,
- 44', Medina F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Sanson M. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
- 62', Emerson ↓, Mmadi T. ↑,
- 63', Vermeeren A. ↓, Greenwood M. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 0, Hojbjerg P. ⚽, Nnadi T. (A),
- 67', Cho M. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,
- 80', Nnadi T. ↓, Kamissoko N. ↑,
- 81', Timber Q. ↓, Abdelli H. ↑,
- 81', Abdul Samed S. ↓, Kevin ↑,
- 81', Bard M. ↓, Abdi A. ↑,
- 86', Weah T. 🟨,
- 87', Rulli G. 🟨,
- 88', 1 - 1, Wahi E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+1', Wahi E. ↓, Vanhoutte C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Olympique Marseille
58.2% | Draw
22.4% | Nice
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olympique Marseille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Olympique Marseille - Nice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↑
(1.5) |
4.34 ↓
(4.68) |
4.96 ↓
(5.65) |
4.5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Nice?
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 29 - 78.4%). Nice will win (votes: 3 - 8.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 65.1% – 91.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olympique Marseille will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Nice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Marseille is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Marseille: Aguerd N.
(Groin Injury)
Egan-Riley C.
(Injury)
Gouiri A.
(Injury)
Kondogbia G.
(Thigh Injury)
Nadir B.
(Injury)
Paixao I.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Nice: Bombito M.
(Leg Injury)
Pereira E.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Nice: Abdelmonem M.
(Injury)
Dante
(Injury)
Ndayishimiye Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:28. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Nice?
Olympique Marseille has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Olympique Marseille?
Nice has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Nice were as follows:
21.11.2025
Nice
-
Olympique Marseille
1:5
26.01.2025
Nice
-
Olympique Marseille
2:0
14.09.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Nice
2:0
24.04.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Nice
2:2
21.10.2023
Nice
-
Olympique Marseille
1:0
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70:27 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61:33 | 28 | 64 |
| 3 | Lyon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52:34 | 18 | 60 |
| 4 | Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:35 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Rennes | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56:46 | 10 | 56 |
| 6 | Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | Marseille | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 59:44 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 50:41 | 9 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 44:49 | -5 | 42 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 45:45 | 0 | 41 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 44:47 | -3 | 41 |
| 12 | Brest | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 41:51 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27:46 | -19 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Nice | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36:58 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29:51 | -22 | 23 |
| 18 | Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32:72 | -40 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
