Result
1:0
30/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 16
- Referee: Verboomen N. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Taiwan | DAZN |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (243/337) | 82% (417/510) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (243/337) | 82% (417/510) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (18/54) | 59% (50/85) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (46/75) | 74% (146/197) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 58% (14/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 45 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Van De Perre K. 🟨,
- 11', 1 - 0, Angulo N. ⚽, Augustinsson L. (A),
- 25', Ait El Hadj A. 🟨,
- 29', De Cat N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Kana M. ↓, Hey L. ↑,
- 61', Van De Perre K. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
- 61', David P. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
- 61', Niang O. ↓, Patris L. ↑,
- 64', Llansana E. ↓, Stroeykens M. ↑,
- 64', Cvetkovic M. ↓, Verschaeren Y. ↑,
- 64', Camara I. ↓, N'Diaye M. ↑,
- 69', Khalaili A. 🟨,
- 74', Hazard T. 🟨,
- 77', Florucz R. ↓, Giger M. ↑,
- 82', Angulo N. ↓, Maamar A. ↑,
- 88', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Schoofs R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Anderlecht
29.8% | Draw
27.8% | Saint-Gilloise
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Anderlecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.21 ↑
(3.15) |
3.43 ↓
(3.5) |
2.26 ↑
(2.11) |
4.7%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Anderlecht will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Union SG will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Anderlecht (votes: 1 - 50%). Union SG (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 0.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Anderlecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Union SG has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Anderlecht: Ashimeru M.
(Inactive)
Flips A.
(Foot Injury)
Keita Z.
(Inactive)
Saliba N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Union SG: Fuseini M.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Union SG: Florucz R.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:31. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Anderlecht won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 0.8:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Anderlecht won against Saint-Gilloise?
Anderlecht has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against Anderlecht?
Saint-Gilloise has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
31.08.2025
Saint-Gilloise
-
Anderlecht
2:0
10.05.2025
Anderlecht
-
Saint-Gilloise
0:1
12.04.2025
Saint-Gilloise
-
Anderlecht
2:0
23.02.2025
Anderlecht
-
Saint-Gilloise
0:2
01.09.2024
Saint-Gilloise
-
Anderlecht
0:0
Latest results of Anderlecht
Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 57 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 27 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 51:32 | 19 | 56 |
| 3 | St. Truiden ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 44:30 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Genk | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Gent | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 25:34 | -9 | 35 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:30 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Charleroi | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 36:37 | -1 | 33 |
| 12 | Waregem | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 37:44 | -7 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 28 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 | Dender | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
