Result
2:0
06/04/2026 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 3
- Referee: Nilsen O. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.01 | 0.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (443/526) | 83% (394/473) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.01 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (443/526) | 83% (394/473) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (29/57) | 35% (16/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (127/164) | 67% (48/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.55 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Witry A. F. ↓, Dahl T. ↑,
- 21', Wahlstedt L. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Hjerto-Dahl J. ⚽, Cornic L. (A),
- 35', Svensson J. 🟨,
- 41', Svensson J. ↓, Mortensen J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Sahsah N. ↓, Islamovic D. ↑,
- 46', Fossum I. ↓, Selnaes O. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 0, Larsen H. ⚽,
- 77', Hjerto-Dahl J. ↓, Braut D. ↑,
- 81', Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. ↓, Kinteh A. S. ↑,
- 84', Ceide M. K. 🟨,
- 89', Larsen H. ↓, Nyhammer T. ↑,
- 89', Ceide E. K. ↓, Nordli S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tromsø
59.2% | Draw
23.8% | Rosenborg
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tromsø has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Rosenborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Tromsø - Rosenborg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.58) |
3.98 ↓
(4.18) |
5.6 ↑
(5.36) |
5.7%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tromsø - Rosenborg?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tromsø (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Tromsø (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Tromsø will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tromsø (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 2.
- Tromsø is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Rosenborg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Tromsø is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Tromsø: Grundt J.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Rosenborg: Duris D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Nemcik T.
(Knee Injury)
Reitan-Sunde J.
(Broken collarbone)
Slordal E.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Tromsø: Hjerto-Dahl J.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:40. (average 1.3:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tromsø won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Tromsø won against Rosenborg?
Tromsø has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rosenborg won against Tromsø?
Rosenborg has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tromsø - Rosenborg were as follows:
22.11.2025
Tromsø
-
Rosenborg
1:0
27.07.2025
Rosenborg
-
Tromsø
4:1
13.10.2024
Rosenborg
-
Tromsø
1:1
04.08.2024
Rosenborg
-
Tromsø
1:0
20.05.2024
Tromsø
-
Rosenborg
3:2
Latest results of Rosenborg
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tromso | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 20 |
| 2 | Viking | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:6 | 13 | 18 |
| 3 | Lillestrom | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Bodo/Glimt | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Molde | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Brann | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | HamKam | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Sandefjord | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Kristiansund | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Fredrikstad | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 7 |
| 13 | Sarpsborg 08 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 | Rosenborg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Start | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
| 16 | Aalesund | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
