Result
2:1
25/04/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 31
- Referee: van de Graaf E. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.85 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (450/550) | 77% (297/387) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (450/550) | 77% (297/387) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (26/54) | 48% (40/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (101/144) | 65% (70/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 43% (12/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 2.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Brittijn P. ⚽, Limnios D. (A),
- 16', 1 - 1, Meerveld R. ⚽, Trenskow J. (A),
- 43', Rivera M. ↓, Oyen L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 69', Nordas L. ↓, Vente D. ↑,
- 70', Brittijn P. ↓, Oukili Y. ↑,
- 70', Sierhuis K. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
- 70', Ihattaren M. ↓, Pinto I. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Linday M. ⚽, van Overeem J. (A),
- 79', Dahlhaus J. ↓, Peterson K. ↑,
- 84', Meerveld R. ↓, Brouwers L. ↑,
- 87', Marquez I. ↓, Johnson O. ↑,
- 88', Braude O. 🟨,
- 90', Pinto I. 🟥,
- 90+5', Klaverboer B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Heerenveen
64.7% | Draw
18.9% | Fortuna Sittard
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heerenveen's performance.Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Heerenveen - Fortuna Sittard Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.61) |
5.01 ↑
(4.31) |
5.84 ↑
(4.73) |
4.9%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Heerenveen - Fortuna Sittard?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Fortuna Sittard (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Heerenveen will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 1 - 50%). Fortuna Sittard (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 1.
- Heerenveen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fortuna Sittard is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Heerenveen is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Noppert A.
(Inactive)
Smans L.
(Knee Injury)
van Axel Dongen A.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Branderhorst M.
(Muscle Injury)
Halilovic A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Heerenveen: Willemsen M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Lonwijk J.
(Muscle Injury)
Michut E.
(Inactive)
Pinto I.
(Inactive)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.6:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against Fortuna Sittard?
Heerenveen has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against Heerenveen?
Fortuna Sittard has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - Fortuna Sittard were as follows:
08.11.2025
Fortuna Sittard
-
Heerenveen
2:0
01.02.2025
Heerenveen
-
Fortuna Sittard
2:2
02.11.2024
Fortuna Sittard
-
Heerenveen
3:0
03.02.2024
Fortuna Sittard
-
Heerenveen
3:3
25.11.2023
Heerenveen
-
Fortuna Sittard
3:0
Latest results of Heerenveen
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Draw
Relegation - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Roda | Waalwijk | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Willem II | |
| 3 | Den Bosch | Almere City | 0 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Bye | De Graafschap | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Waalwijk | Willem II | |
| 2 | Almere City | De Graafschap | |
Semi-finalsFinal
