Result
1:0
05/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 20% | 80% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (107/168) | 89% (592/667) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 4 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (107/168) | 89% (592/667) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (24/56) | 66% (35/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (32/68) | 79% (170/216) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 28% (9/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Fernandez F. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
- 12', Coronel P. 🟥,
- 31', Gimenez N. 🟨,
- 36', Villalba E. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Lopez M. ⚽, Servin T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Villalba E. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
- 46', Molinas A. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
- 46', Gimenez N. ↓, Franco I. ↑,
- 65', Zaracho S. 🟨,
- 68', Servin T. ↓, Barbotte A. ↑,
- 73', Campuzano A. ↓, Carrizo F. ↑,
- 76', Lopez M. 🟨,
- 77', Fretes A. ↓, Vera O. R. ↑,
- 80', Fernandez D. ↓, Ramos M. ↑,
- 80', Lopez M. ↓, Torales R. ↑,
- 80', Tanda P. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
- 83', Martinez L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guaraní Asuncion
35.2% | Draw
30.5% | Libertad Asuncion
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↓
(3.02) |
3.06 ↓
(3.14) |
2.72 ↑
(2.38) |
7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Guaraní may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Guaraní has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Libertad Asuncion?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 5 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Libertad Asuncion has won 6 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
08.02.2026
Libertad Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
3:3
09.11.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Libertad Asuncion
1:2
01.10.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:3
25.08.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
0:4
19.04.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:3
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 39 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26:14 | 12 | 34 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Guarani | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 25 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25:22 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 18 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14:33 | -19 | 15 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12:36 | -24 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
