Result
3:3
08/02/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 4
- Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (240/294) | 79% (153/194) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (240/294) | 79% (153/194) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (23/39) | 47% (18/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (43/62) | 65% (37/57) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 28 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.15 | -0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 5', 1 - 0, Ramirez I. ⚽, Melgarejo L. (A),
- 13', 1 - 1, Rodriguez D. ⚽, Martinez L. (A),
- 38', 1 - 2, Servio G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+2', 1 - 3, Fernandez D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', 2 - 3, Melgarejo L. ⚽, Ramirez I. (A),
- 58', Gimenez N. 🟨,
- 62', Recalde J. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
- 69', Llano J. ↓, Tanda P. ↑,
- 69', Fernandez D. ↓, Jhon Sanchez ↑,
- 69', Franco I. ↓, Fretes A. ↑,
- 69', Carrizo F. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 70', Torales R. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
- 75', Caballero H. ↓, Campuzano A. ↑,
- 75', Martinez H. ↓, Molinas A. ↑,
- 78', Campuzano A. 🟨,
- 78', Ramirez I. 🟨,
- 81', 3 - 3, Melgarejo L. ⚽, Rojas R. (A),
- 86', Rodriguez D. ↓, Fernandez F. ↑,
- 90', Molinas A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Melgarejo L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Libertad Asuncion
45.1% | Draw
29.3% | Guaraní Asuncion
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.1) |
3.15 ↓
(3.53) |
3.63 ↑
(3.22) |
8.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Libertad (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Libertad (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2.
- Guaraní may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Libertad could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Libertad Asuncion has won 6 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Libertad Asuncion?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 5 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:
09.11.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Libertad Asuncion
1:2
01.10.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:3
25.08.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
0:4
19.04.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:3
09.02.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:1
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Ameliano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Cerro Porteno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Guarani | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:12 | -9 | 2 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
