Result
2:2
26/04/2026 at 16:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 18
- Referee: Benitez D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
Paraguay | Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+ |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 75% | 25% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (533/593) | 65% (132/203) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 3 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (533/593) | 65% (132/203) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (36/54) | 39% (25/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (166/206) | 48% (22/46) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 0% (0/2) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.16 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.43 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Fernandez D. ⚽, Romero N. (A),
- 17', Ruiz Diaz R. 🟨,
- 27', Romero N. 🟥,
- 38', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Rodriguez D. ↓, Coronel P. ↑,
- 46', Barreto M. ↓, Caceres Aguero F. M. ↑,
- 46', Fernandez A. ↓, Delgadillo L. ↑,
- 46', Coronel U. ↓, Fretes S. D. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, Caceres Aguero F. M. ⚽, Acosta M. (A),
- 60', Alfonso E. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 2, Coronel P. ⚽,
- 67', Segovia I. 🟨,
- 68', Ruiz Diaz R. ↓, Acosta D. ↑,
- 71', Servio G. 🟨,
- 73', Lopez M. ↓, Jhon Sanchez ↑,
- 75', Tanda P. 🟨,
- 79', 2 - 2, Acosta D. ⚽,
- 81', Zaracho S. 🟨,
- 83', Fernandez D. ↓, Ramos M. ↑,
- 83', Tanda P. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
Chances of winning
2 de Mayo 29.3% | Draw 29.3% | Guaraní Asuncion 41.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
2 de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
2 de Mayo - Guaraní Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.18 (3.18) |
3.16 ↓ (3.33) |
2.24 ↑ (2.19) |
7.7% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 2 de Mayo won 3.
- 2 de Mayo is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Guaraní is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Guaraní might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, 2 de Mayo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, 2 de Mayo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has 2 de Mayo won against Guaraní Asuncion?
2 de Mayo has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against 2 de Mayo?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between 2 de Mayo - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:
25.03.2026
Guaraní Asuncion
-
2 de Mayo
1:1
05.11.2025
2 de Mayo
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:0
12.09.2025
2 de Mayo
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:0
06.07.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
2 de Mayo
3:1
16.04.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
2 de Mayo
0:1
Latest results of 2 de Mayo
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 39 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26:14 | 12 | 34 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Guarani | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 25 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25:22 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 18 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14:33 | -19 | 15 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12:36 | -24 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )