Result
3:1
07/03/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 3
- Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Ecuavisa, Zapping, Zapping Sports 2+, Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (489/530) | 70% (139/198) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (489/530) | 70% (139/198) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 72% (39/54) | 35% (21/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 86% (148/172) | 57% (40/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (10/30) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.54 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | -1.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Velasco K. ⚽, Mina F. (A),
- 32', Carrillo R. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Pata E. ⚽, Alcivar J. (A),
- 45+4', Romero Padilla D. A. 🟨,
- 45+4', Lemos L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', Davila E. 🟨,
- 63', Negro B. 🟥,
- 70', Angulo C. 🟥,
- 70', Alcivar J. 🟥,
- 75', Carrillo R. ↓, Minda T. ↑,
- 75', Mina F. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 75', Lemos L. ↓, Flor F. ↑,
- 75', Gonzalez C. ↓, Perello M. ↑,
- 76', Romero Padilla D. A. ↓, Reasco D. ↑,
- 76', Arroyo J. P. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
- 80', Pata E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 88', Mercado P. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Perello M. ⚽, Rodriguez A. (A),
- 90+3', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Davila E. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
- 90+11', 3 - 1, Angulo J. ⚽, Reasco D. (A),
Chances of winning
Independiente del Valle
66.4% | Draw
21.5% | Mushuc Runa
12.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.42) |
4.28 ↓
(4.43) |
7.58 ↑
(7.18) |
8.2%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Mushuc Runa (2.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mushuc Runa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 3.
- In this match, Ind del Valle is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:21. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Mushuc Runa?
Independiente del Valle has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Independiente del Valle?
Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
20.09.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
Independiente del Valle
2:2
19.08.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
Independiente del Valle
2:2
12.08.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
Mushuc Runa
1:0
23.05.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
Mushuc Runa
2:1
05.10.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Independiente del Valle
1:1
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | Tecnico U | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Macara | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Libertad | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | LDU Quito | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Aucas | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Delfin | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3:4 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Leones del Norte | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Guayaquil City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Emelec | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Orense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Manta | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
